Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, supporting clear skies and efficient daytime heating in Milan on September 15. Ensemble forecasts cluster maximum temperatures near 27–28 °C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs reach approximately 25–27 °C. Low precipitation probabilities and light easterly winds limit cooling, reinforcing trader consensus around these values. Updated model runs through September 13 have shown minimal spread, tightening implied probabilities for outcomes outside this narrow band ahead of official station observations that will determine market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on September 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 15?
27°C 52%
28°C 35%
26°C 12%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27°C
52%
28°C
35%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 52%
28°C 35%
26°C 12%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
$89 Обс.
1%
22°C
$89 Обс.
1%
23°C
$89 Обс.
1%
24°C
$6 Обс.
2%
25°C
$555 Обс.
3%
26°C
$630 Обс.
12%
27°C
$2,262 Обс.
52%
28°C
$900 Обс.
35%
29°C
$814 Обс.
6%
30°C
$10 Обс.
2%
31°C or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, supporting clear skies and efficient daytime heating in Milan on September 15. Ensemble forecasts cluster maximum temperatures near 27–28 °C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs reach approximately 25–27 °C. Low precipitation probabilities and light easterly winds limit cooling, reinforcing trader consensus around these values. Updated model runs through September 13 have shown minimal spread, tightening implied probabilities for outcomes outside this narrow band ahead of official station observations that will determine market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,887Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, supporting clear skies and efficient daytime heating in Milan on September 15. Ensemble forecasts cluster maximum temperatures near 27–28 °C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs reach approximately 25–27 °C. Low precipitation probabilities and light easterly winds limit cooling, reinforcing trader consensus around these values. Updated model runs through September 13 have shown minimal spread, tightening implied probabilities for outcomes outside this narrow band ahead of official station observations that will determine market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,887Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, supporting clear skies and efficient daytime heating in Milan on September 15. Ensemble forecasts cluster maximum temperatures near 27–28 °C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs reach approximately 25–27 °C. Low precipitation probabilities and light easterly winds limit cooling, reinforcing trader consensus around these values. Updated model runs through September 13 have shown minimal spread, tightening implied probabilities for outcomes outside this narrow band ahead of official station observations that will determine market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання