**Forecast models from sources including YR.no and GFS-based outlooks indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1020–1022 hPa.** This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 18°C and 19°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the diurnal minimum explain the near-even split and the non-negligible tail probabilities for 16–17°C or 20–21°C. A shift toward unsettled conditions and rain is projected only from September 16 onward, leaving the 15th resolution largely insensitive to longer-range variables. Traders are weighting the current short-range consensus from official monitoring agencies while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty in minimum-temperature forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Milan on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 15?
13°C or below 56%
23°C or higher 55%
22°C 39%
18°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
13°C or below
56%
14°C
18%
15°C
11%
16°C
19%
17°C
23%
18°C
31%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
18%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
55%
13°C or below 56%
23°C or higher 55%
22°C 39%
18°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
13°C or below
$10 Обс.
56%
14°C
$10 Обс.
18%
15°C
$50 Обс.
11%
16°C
$8 Обс.
19%
17°C
$0 Обс.
23%
18°C
$0 Обс.
31%
19°C
$0 Обс.
25%
20°C
$0 Обс.
23%
21°C
$50 Обс.
18%
22°C
$10 Обс.
39%
23°C or higher
$10 Обс.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including YR.no and GFS-based outlooks indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1020–1022 hPa.** This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 18°C and 19°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the diurnal minimum explain the near-even split and the non-negligible tail probabilities for 16–17°C or 20–21°C. A shift toward unsettled conditions and rain is projected only from September 16 onward, leaving the 15th resolution largely insensitive to longer-range variables. Traders are weighting the current short-range consensus from official monitoring agencies while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty in minimum-temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$148Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including YR.no and GFS-based outlooks indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1020–1022 hPa.** This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 18°C and 19°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the diurnal minimum explain the near-even split and the non-negligible tail probabilities for 16–17°C or 20–21°C. A shift toward unsettled conditions and rain is projected only from September 16 onward, leaving the 15th resolution largely insensitive to longer-range variables. Traders are weighting the current short-range consensus from official monitoring agencies while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty in minimum-temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$148Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including YR.no and GFS-based outlooks indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1020–1022 hPa.** This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 18°C and 19°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the diurnal minimum explain the near-even split and the non-negligible tail probabilities for 16–17°C or 20–21°C. A shift toward unsettled conditions and rain is projected only from September 16 onward, leaving the 15th resolution largely insensitive to longer-range variables. Traders are weighting the current short-range consensus from official monitoring agencies while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty in minimum-temperature forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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