A strong European heat dome has driven temperatures well above seasonal norms across northern France, with Paris forecast to peak in the upper 30s °C on June 22 amid clear skies, light winds, and intense solar insolation. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs from ECMWF show consensus around 38–39 °C, consistent with the heatwave’s multi-day persistence and urban heat-island amplification in the city center. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on these values because small differences hinge on exact peak-hour timing, minor cloud intrusions, or boundary-layer mixing—factors that short-range models resolve with limited spread. Higher outcomes near 40–41 °C remain plausible if the ridge strengthens or downslope warming intensifies, while probabilities drop sharply below 37 °C given the entrenched warm air mass and absence of cooling advection in current guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on June 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 22?
37°C 100%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$167,780 Обс.
$167,780 Обс.
Jun 22, 2026
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
37°C 100%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$167,780 Обс.
$167,780 Обс.
Jun 22, 2026
34°C or below
$13,391 Обс.
No
35°C
$19,235 Обс.
No
36°C
$31,536 Обс.
No
37°C
$26,155 Обс.
Yes
38°C
$26,136 Обс.
No
39°C
$16,259 Обс.
No
40°C
$18,539 Обс.
No
41°C
$8,669 Обс.
No
42°C
$5,300 Обс.
No
43°C
$1,382 Обс.
No
44°C or higher
$1,176 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong European heat dome has driven temperatures well above seasonal norms across northern France, with Paris forecast to peak in the upper 30s °C on June 22 amid clear skies, light winds, and intense solar insolation. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs from ECMWF show consensus around 38–39 °C, consistent with the heatwave’s multi-day persistence and urban heat-island amplification in the city center. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on these values because small differences hinge on exact peak-hour timing, minor cloud intrusions, or boundary-layer mixing—factors that short-range models resolve with limited spread. Higher outcomes near 40–41 °C remain plausible if the ridge strengthens or downslope warming intensifies, while probabilities drop sharply below 37 °C given the entrenched warm air mass and absence of cooling advection in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$167,780Дата завершення
Jun 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong European heat dome has driven temperatures well above seasonal norms across northern France, with Paris forecast to peak in the upper 30s °C on June 22 amid clear skies, light winds, and intense solar insolation. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs from ECMWF show consensus around 38–39 °C, consistent with the heatwave’s multi-day persistence and urban heat-island amplification in the city center. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on these values because small differences hinge on exact peak-hour timing, minor cloud intrusions, or boundary-layer mixing—factors that short-range models resolve with limited spread. Higher outcomes near 40–41 °C remain plausible if the ridge strengthens or downslope warming intensifies, while probabilities drop sharply below 37 °C given the entrenched warm air mass and absence of cooling advection in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$167,780Дата завершення
Jun 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
A strong European heat dome has driven temperatures well above seasonal norms across northern France, with Paris forecast to peak in the upper 30s °C on June 22 amid clear skies, light winds, and intense solar insolation. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs from ECMWF show consensus around 38–39 °C, consistent with the heatwave’s multi-day persistence and urban heat-island amplification in the city center. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on these values because small differences hinge on exact peak-hour timing, minor cloud intrusions, or boundary-layer mixing—factors that short-range models resolve with limited spread. Higher outcomes near 40–41 °C remain plausible if the ridge strengthens or downslope warming intensifies, while probabilities drop sharply below 37 °C given the entrenched warm air mass and absence of cooling advection in current guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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