Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$69,804 Обс.
$69,804 Обс.
Apr 17, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$69,804 Обс.
$69,804 Обс.
Apr 17, 2026
24°C or below
$8,953 Обс.
No
25°C
$2,973 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,178 Обс.
No
27°C
$3,978 Обс.
No
28°C
$12,192 Обс.
No
29°C
$13,238 Обс.
No
30°C
$8,995 Обс.
Yes
31°C
$8,686 Обс.
No
32°C
$3,686 Обс.
No
33°C
$1,952 Обс.
No
34°C or higher
$1,972 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$69,804Дата завершення
Apr 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$69,804Дата завершення
Apr 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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