Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies point to clear skies and strong solar insolation over São Paulo on August 20, positioning 32°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability. Dry winter conditions typical of the dry season, combined with low afternoon humidity and light winds, are expected to enhance surface heating and push the daily maximum into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius range. Numerical weather models show consensus around 31–32°C, with limited spread due to stable high-pressure dominance; historical August extremes rarely exceed 33°C under similar setups. Upcoming evening model runs and official updates from INMET could refine these odds if any unexpected cloud cover develops.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 20?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 20?
32°C 53%
31°C 31%
30°C 11%
33°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
31%
32°C
53%
33°C
7%
34°C
6%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 53%
31°C 31%
30°C 11%
33°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
$3 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$3 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$5 Обс.
3%
29°C
$5 Обс.
6%
30°C
$49 Обс.
11%
31°C
$91 Обс.
31%
32°C
$155 Обс.
53%
33°C
$42 Обс.
7%
34°C
$10 Обс.
6%
35°C
$5 Обс.
5%
36°C or higher
$79 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies point to clear skies and strong solar insolation over São Paulo on August 20, positioning 32°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability. Dry winter conditions typical of the dry season, combined with low afternoon humidity and light winds, are expected to enhance surface heating and push the daily maximum into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius range. Numerical weather models show consensus around 31–32°C, with limited spread due to stable high-pressure dominance; historical August extremes rarely exceed 33°C under similar setups. Upcoming evening model runs and official updates from INMET could refine these odds if any unexpected cloud cover develops.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$446Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies point to clear skies and strong solar insolation over São Paulo on August 20, positioning 32°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability. Dry winter conditions typical of the dry season, combined with low afternoon humidity and light winds, are expected to enhance surface heating and push the daily maximum into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius range. Numerical weather models show consensus around 31–32°C, with limited spread due to stable high-pressure dominance; historical August extremes rarely exceed 33°C under similar setups. Upcoming evening model runs and official updates from INMET could refine these odds if any unexpected cloud cover develops.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$446Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies point to clear skies and strong solar insolation over São Paulo on August 20, positioning 32°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability. Dry winter conditions typical of the dry season, combined with low afternoon humidity and light winds, are expected to enhance surface heating and push the daily maximum into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius range. Numerical weather models show consensus around 31–32°C, with limited spread due to stable high-pressure dominance; historical August extremes rarely exceed 33°C under similar setups. Upcoming evening model runs and official updates from INMET could refine these odds if any unexpected cloud cover develops.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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