**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 19 centers on 31–32°C as the leading outcomes, with market-implied probabilities of 45% and 32% respectively.** These odds reflect current forecast consensus from models and observational trends indicating clear, sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure system typical of the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. Recent extended forecasts highlight maximums near 31°C (around 88°F), driven by minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that promotes efficient surface heating. Historical August averages for São Paulo hover around 25–27°C, so the implied probabilities incorporate a modest positive anomaly consistent with recent observational data showing slightly elevated highs. Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum recorded at primary stations (such as those monitored by INMET), with the market sensitive to any late adjustments from updated model runs or unexpected moisture advection. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are indicated in the immediate forecast window, supporting the tight clustering around the 31–32°C range while leaving room for minor shifts if boundary-layer mixing or cloud development alters the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 19?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 19?
31°C 48%
32°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
48%
32°C
32%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
32°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$18 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$169 Обс.
1%
28°C
$95 Обс.
2%
29°C
$51 Обс.
4%
30°C
$218 Обс.
15%
31°C
$680 Обс.
48%
32°C
$167 Обс.
32%
33°C
$85 Обс.
5%
34°C
$92 Обс.
2%
35°C
$191 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$120 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 19 centers on 31–32°C as the leading outcomes, with market-implied probabilities of 45% and 32% respectively.** These odds reflect current forecast consensus from models and observational trends indicating clear, sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure system typical of the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season.
Recent extended forecasts highlight maximums near 31°C (around 88°F), driven by minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that promotes efficient surface heating. Historical August averages for São Paulo hover around 25–27°C, so the implied probabilities incorporate a modest positive anomaly consistent with recent observational data showing slightly elevated highs.
Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum recorded at primary stations (such as those monitored by INMET), with the market sensitive to any late adjustments from updated model runs or unexpected moisture advection. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are indicated in the immediate forecast window, supporting the tight clustering around the 31–32°C range while leaving room for minor shifts if boundary-layer mixing or cloud development alters the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,886Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 19 centers on 31–32°C as the leading outcomes, with market-implied probabilities of 45% and 32% respectively.** These odds reflect current forecast consensus from models and observational trends indicating clear, sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure system typical of the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season.
Recent extended forecasts highlight maximums near 31°C (around 88°F), driven by minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that promotes efficient surface heating. Historical August averages for São Paulo hover around 25–27°C, so the implied probabilities incorporate a modest positive anomaly consistent with recent observational data showing slightly elevated highs.
Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum recorded at primary stations (such as those monitored by INMET), with the market sensitive to any late adjustments from updated model runs or unexpected moisture advection. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are indicated in the immediate forecast window, supporting the tight clustering around the 31–32°C range while leaving room for minor shifts if boundary-layer mixing or cloud development alters the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,886Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 19 centers on 31–32°C as the leading outcomes, with market-implied probabilities of 45% and 32% respectively.** These odds reflect current forecast consensus from models and observational trends indicating clear, sunny conditions under a stable subtropical high-pressure system typical of the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. Recent extended forecasts highlight maximums near 31°C (around 88°F), driven by minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that promotes efficient surface heating. Historical August averages for São Paulo hover around 25–27°C, so the implied probabilities incorporate a modest positive anomaly consistent with recent observational data showing slightly elevated highs. Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum recorded at primary stations (such as those monitored by INMET), with the market sensitive to any late adjustments from updated model runs or unexpected moisture advection. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are indicated in the immediate forecast window, supporting the tight clustering around the 31–32°C range while leaving room for minor shifts if boundary-layer mixing or cloud development alters the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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