Korea Meteorological Administration's short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 10 at 25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or higher. Morning observations at Seoul station show temperatures rising from 12°C with 0% precipitation risk, enabling typical diurnal heating amplified by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show strong agreement, a shift from cooler highs of 19-20°C earlier this week. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 22°C, though upper-air patterns render this improbable; monitor hourly KMA updates through afternoon for final measurements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on May 10?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 10?
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$241,362 Обс.
$241,362 Обс.
May 10, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$241,362 Обс.
$241,362 Обс.
May 10, 2026
12°C or below
$6,489 Обс.
No
13°C
$3,174 Обс.
No
14°C
$3,680 Обс.
No
15°C
$3,796 Обс.
No
16°C
$5,066 Обс.
No
17°C
$12,874 Обс.
No
18°C
$47,214 Обс.
No
19°C
$33,264 Обс.
No
20°C
$56,577 Обс.
No
21°C
$38,506 Обс.
No
22°C or higher
$30,723 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 10 at 25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or higher. Morning observations at Seoul station show temperatures rising from 12°C with 0% precipitation risk, enabling typical diurnal heating amplified by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show strong agreement, a shift from cooler highs of 19-20°C earlier this week. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 22°C, though upper-air patterns render this improbable; monitor hourly KMA updates through afternoon for final measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$241,362Дата завершення
May 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 10 at 25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or higher. Morning observations at Seoul station show temperatures rising from 12°C with 0% precipitation risk, enabling typical diurnal heating amplified by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show strong agreement, a shift from cooler highs of 19-20°C earlier this week. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 22°C, though upper-air patterns render this improbable; monitor hourly KMA updates through afternoon for final measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$241,362Дата завершення
May 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 10 at 25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or higher. Morning observations at Seoul station show temperatures rising from 12°C with 0% precipitation risk, enabling typical diurnal heating amplified by a stable high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show strong agreement, a shift from cooler highs of 19-20°C earlier this week. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 22°C, though upper-air patterns render this improbable; monitor hourly KMA updates through afternoon for final measurements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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