Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a maximum temperature of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6 under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when daily highs typically average near 29°C with low precipitation risk. Current surface observations and short-range guidance show stable high pressure and no incoming systems that would drive significant deviation. Market-implied odds, with 31°C as the clear leader at over 56%, reflect traders weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning modest probability to a 32°C outlier if afternoon insolation strengthens. Updated model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift positioning before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
31°C 56%
32°C 42%
30°C 11%
33°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
56%
32°C
42%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
2%
31°C 56%
32°C 42%
30°C 11%
33°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
29°C
$0 Обс.
5%
30°C
$45 Обс.
11%
31°C
$213 Обс.
56%
32°C
$128 Обс.
42%
33°C
$0 Обс.
8%
34°C
$0 Обс.
5%
35°C
$0 Обс.
2%
36°C
$0 Обс.
2%
37°C
$0 Обс.
2%
38°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a maximum temperature of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6 under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when daily highs typically average near 29°C with low precipitation risk. Current surface observations and short-range guidance show stable high pressure and no incoming systems that would drive significant deviation. Market-implied odds, with 31°C as the clear leader at over 56%, reflect traders weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning modest probability to a 32°C outlier if afternoon insolation strengthens. Updated model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$386Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a maximum temperature of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6 under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when daily highs typically average near 29°C with low precipitation risk. Current surface observations and short-range guidance show stable high pressure and no incoming systems that would drive significant deviation. Market-implied odds, with 31°C as the clear leader at over 56%, reflect traders weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning modest probability to a 32°C outlier if afternoon insolation strengthens. Updated model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$386Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate a maximum temperature of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6 under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when daily highs typically average near 29°C with low precipitation risk. Current surface observations and short-range guidance show stable high pressure and no incoming systems that would drive significant deviation. Market-implied odds, with 31°C as the clear leader at over 56%, reflect traders weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning modest probability to a 32°C outlier if afternoon insolation strengthens. Updated model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could shift positioning before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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