Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and European centers indicates a maximum of 15–16°C in Warsaw on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and scattered light showers or drizzle. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime insolation and solar heating, while the maritime air mass keeps surface temperatures suppressed near seasonal norms. Minor differences in forecast timing of any partial clearing or precipitation intensity explain the near-even split between 15°C and 16°C market-implied odds, with 14°C remaining plausible if showers prove heavier. Updated high-resolution model runs and official briefings from national meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 25?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 25?
15°C 39%
16°C 38%
13°C 16%
14°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
16%
15°C
39%
16°C
38%
17°C
12%
18°C
8%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 39%
16°C 38%
13°C 16%
14°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$0 Обс.
4%
13°C
$0 Обс.
16%
14°C
$0 Обс.
16%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$8 Обс.
38%
17°C
$0 Обс.
12%
18°C
$0 Обс.
8%
19°C
$60 Обс.
4%
20°C
$95 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$256 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and European centers indicates a maximum of 15–16°C in Warsaw on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and scattered light showers or drizzle. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime insolation and solar heating, while the maritime air mass keeps surface temperatures suppressed near seasonal norms. Minor differences in forecast timing of any partial clearing or precipitation intensity explain the near-even split between 15°C and 16°C market-implied odds, with 14°C remaining plausible if showers prove heavier. Updated high-resolution model runs and official briefings from national meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$419Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and European centers indicates a maximum of 15–16°C in Warsaw on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and scattered light showers or drizzle. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime insolation and solar heating, while the maritime air mass keeps surface temperatures suppressed near seasonal norms. Minor differences in forecast timing of any partial clearing or precipitation intensity explain the near-even split between 15°C and 16°C market-implied odds, with 14°C remaining plausible if showers prove heavier. Updated high-resolution model runs and official briefings from national meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$419Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and European centers indicates a maximum of 15–16°C in Warsaw on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and scattered light showers or drizzle. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime insolation and solar heating, while the maritime air mass keeps surface temperatures suppressed near seasonal norms. Minor differences in forecast timing of any partial clearing or precipitation intensity explain the near-even split between 15°C and 16°C market-implied odds, with 14°C remaining plausible if showers prove heavier. Updated high-resolution model runs and official briefings from national meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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