Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Zhengzhou highs near 31–32°C (88–90°F) for August 10 amid typical North China Plain summer conditions, with high humidity and variable monsoon influences. This underpins the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C or higher (42.5% implied probability) and 31°C (30.5%) reflect model consensus on peak afternoon temperatures driven by daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm patterns with minimal frontal activity, though slight downward revisions in some runs introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. Historical August averages of 30–31°C provide baseline context, while official monitoring from China's meteorological agencies will confirm the daily high against resolution thresholds. Traders weigh these data shifts ahead of the event.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 10?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 10?
32°C or higher 43%
31°C 37%
30°C 18%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
11%
30°C
18%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
43%
32°C or higher 43%
31°C 37%
30°C 18%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
$87 Обс.
1%
23°C
$57 Обс.
1%
24°C
$17 Обс.
1%
25°C
$22 Обс.
5%
26°C
$199 Обс.
9%
27°C
$386 Обс.
6%
28°C
$4 Обс.
9%
29°C
$4 Обс.
11%
30°C
$1 Обс.
18%
31°C
$38 Обс.
31%
32°C or higher
$4 Обс.
43%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Zhengzhou highs near 31–32°C (88–90°F) for August 10 amid typical North China Plain summer conditions, with high humidity and variable monsoon influences. This underpins the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C or higher (42.5% implied probability) and 31°C (30.5%) reflect model consensus on peak afternoon temperatures driven by daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm patterns with minimal frontal activity, though slight downward revisions in some runs introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. Historical August averages of 30–31°C provide baseline context, while official monitoring from China's meteorological agencies will confirm the daily high against resolution thresholds. Traders weigh these data shifts ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$817Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Zhengzhou highs near 31–32°C (88–90°F) for August 10 amid typical North China Plain summer conditions, with high humidity and variable monsoon influences. This underpins the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C or higher (42.5% implied probability) and 31°C (30.5%) reflect model consensus on peak afternoon temperatures driven by daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm patterns with minimal frontal activity, though slight downward revisions in some runs introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. Historical August averages of 30–31°C provide baseline context, while official monitoring from China's meteorological agencies will confirm the daily high against resolution thresholds. Traders weigh these data shifts ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$817Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Zhengzhou highs near 31–32°C (88–90°F) for August 10 amid typical North China Plain summer conditions, with high humidity and variable monsoon influences. This underpins the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C or higher (42.5% implied probability) and 31°C (30.5%) reflect model consensus on peak afternoon temperatures driven by daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm patterns with minimal frontal activity, though slight downward revisions in some runs introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. Historical August averages of 30–31°C provide baseline context, while official monitoring from China's meteorological agencies will confirm the daily high against resolution thresholds. Traders weigh these data shifts ahead of the event.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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