**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers is the main driver keeping Polymarket odds evenly split across 26–30°C for Zhengzhou’s August 18 maximum.** Mid-August climatology favors highs near 31°C under humid monsoon flow, but recent model runs show overcast skies and light rain or thundery showers that can cap afternoon peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar heating and enhanced evaporative cooling. Key differentiators include the timing and coverage of convection, boundary-layer moisture, and any urban heat-island effects at the official observing site; stronger afternoon instability could push the peak toward 30°C, while persistent low cloud would favor 26–28°C. Traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance and the inherent resolution sensitivity of a single-day maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 18?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 18?
29°C 25%
30°C 11%
26°C 10%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
25%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
4%
29°C 25%
30°C 11%
26°C 10%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Обс.
3%
23°C
$5 Обс.
3%
24°C
$5 Обс.
7%
25°C
$5 Обс.
3%
26°C
$0 Обс.
10%
27°C
$0 Обс.
8%
28°C
$0 Обс.
10%
29°C
$0 Обс.
25%
30°C
$0 Обс.
11%
31°C
$0 Обс.
4%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers is the main driver keeping Polymarket odds evenly split across 26–30°C for Zhengzhou’s August 18 maximum.** Mid-August climatology favors highs near 31°C under humid monsoon flow, but recent model runs show overcast skies and light rain or thundery showers that can cap afternoon peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar heating and enhanced evaporative cooling. Key differentiators include the timing and coverage of convection, boundary-layer moisture, and any urban heat-island effects at the official observing site; stronger afternoon instability could push the peak toward 30°C, while persistent low cloud would favor 26–28°C. Traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance and the inherent resolution sensitivity of a single-day maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers is the main driver keeping Polymarket odds evenly split across 26–30°C for Zhengzhou’s August 18 maximum.** Mid-August climatology favors highs near 31°C under humid monsoon flow, but recent model runs show overcast skies and light rain or thundery showers that can cap afternoon peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar heating and enhanced evaporative cooling. Key differentiators include the timing and coverage of convection, boundary-layer moisture, and any urban heat-island effects at the official observing site; stronger afternoon instability could push the peak toward 30°C, while persistent low cloud would favor 26–28°C. Traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance and the inherent resolution sensitivity of a single-day maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers is the main driver keeping Polymarket odds evenly split across 26–30°C for Zhengzhou’s August 18 maximum.** Mid-August climatology favors highs near 31°C under humid monsoon flow, but recent model runs show overcast skies and light rain or thundery showers that can cap afternoon peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar heating and enhanced evaporative cooling. Key differentiators include the timing and coverage of convection, boundary-layer moisture, and any urban heat-island effects at the official observing site; stronger afternoon instability could push the peak toward 30°C, while persistent low cloud would favor 26–28°C. Traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance and the inherent resolution sensitivity of a single-day maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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