Clear, sunny conditions driven by a stable high-pressure system position Zhengzhou for a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 5, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 63% and 34% implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple sources project highs of 31–32°C under light northeasterly winds, low humidity around 35–45%, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with late-summer continental patterns in Henan province. Recent observational data showing afternoon readings climbing steadily toward 31°C reinforce model consensus without indications of stronger warming or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the official recorded high, with traders weighting the narrow range against historical September baselines near 24–27°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 5?
31°C 63%
32°C or higher 40%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
63%
32°C or higher
40%
31°C 63%
32°C or higher 40%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
63%
32°C or higher
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Clear, sunny conditions driven by a stable high-pressure system position Zhengzhou for a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 5, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 63% and 34% implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple sources project highs of 31–32°C under light northeasterly winds, low humidity around 35–45%, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with late-summer continental patterns in Henan province. Recent observational data showing afternoon readings climbing steadily toward 31°C reinforce model consensus without indications of stronger warming or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the official recorded high, with traders weighting the narrow range against historical September baselines near 24–27°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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