**Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan launched the first presidential impeachment motion against Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a constitutional dispute involving Premier Cho Jung-tai’s refusal to countersign an opposition-backed revenue-sharing bill that would shift funds to local governments.** The motion advanced past an initial threshold but failed a May 19, 2026 floor vote with 56 in favor and 50 against, well short of the 76 votes (two-thirds of 113 seats) required to refer the case to the Constitutional Court. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People’s Party together control roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier to the supermajority needed under the Additional Articles of the Constitution. No new impeachment proceedings have advanced since the May outcome, though ongoing legislative-executive tensions and November local elections could influence future seat distributions or political pressure. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and numerical hurdles as the dominant factor shaping probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,359,010 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
3%
$1,359,010 Обс.
December 31
$315 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan launched the first presidential impeachment motion against Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a constitutional dispute involving Premier Cho Jung-tai’s refusal to countersign an opposition-backed revenue-sharing bill that would shift funds to local governments.** The motion advanced past an initial threshold but failed a May 19, 2026 floor vote with 56 in favor and 50 against, well short of the 76 votes (two-thirds of 113 seats) required to refer the case to the Constitutional Court. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People’s Party together control roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier to the supermajority needed under the Additional Articles of the Constitution. No new impeachment proceedings have advanced since the May outcome, though ongoing legislative-executive tensions and November local elections could influence future seat distributions or political pressure. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and numerical hurdles as the dominant factor shaping probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,359,010Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan launched the first presidential impeachment motion against Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a constitutional dispute involving Premier Cho Jung-tai’s refusal to countersign an opposition-backed revenue-sharing bill that would shift funds to local governments.** The motion advanced past an initial threshold but failed a May 19, 2026 floor vote with 56 in favor and 50 against, well short of the 76 votes (two-thirds of 113 seats) required to refer the case to the Constitutional Court. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People’s Party together control roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier to the supermajority needed under the Additional Articles of the Constitution. No new impeachment proceedings have advanced since the May outcome, though ongoing legislative-executive tensions and November local elections could influence future seat distributions or political pressure. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and numerical hurdles as the dominant factor shaping probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$1,359,010Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan launched the first presidential impeachment motion against Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a constitutional dispute involving Premier Cho Jung-tai’s refusal to countersign an opposition-backed revenue-sharing bill that would shift funds to local governments.** The motion advanced past an initial threshold but failed a May 19, 2026 floor vote with 56 in favor and 50 against, well short of the 76 votes (two-thirds of 113 seats) required to refer the case to the Constitutional Court. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People’s Party together control roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier to the supermajority needed under the Additional Articles of the Constitution. No new impeachment proceedings have advanced since the May outcome, though ongoing legislative-executive tensions and November local elections could influence future seat distributions or political pressure. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and numerical hurdles as the dominant factor shaping probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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