Current meteorological models and real-time observations from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate radiative cooling overnight under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting a minimum temperature of 9°C in Amsterdam on September 10. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome, as surface temperatures have tracked near or slightly below the 11.3°C climatological average low amid stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection. Traders' strong consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance and the absence of significant model spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in cloud cover or stronger winds that reduce overnight cooling, potentially lifting the minimum above 9°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 10?
9°C 99.5%
6°C or below 8%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,771 Обс.
$1,771 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
8%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 99.5%
6°C or below 8%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,771 Обс.
$1,771 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Обс.
8%
7°C
$55 Обс.
1%
8°C
$159 Обс.
1%
9°C
$331 Обс.
100%
10°C
$285 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$316 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$198 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$265 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$45 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
16°C or higher
$76 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological models and real-time observations from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate radiative cooling overnight under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting a minimum temperature of 9°C in Amsterdam on September 10. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome, as surface temperatures have tracked near or slightly below the 11.3°C climatological average low amid stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection. Traders' strong consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance and the absence of significant model spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in cloud cover or stronger winds that reduce overnight cooling, potentially lifting the minimum above 9°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,771Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological models and real-time observations from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate radiative cooling overnight under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting a minimum temperature of 9°C in Amsterdam on September 10. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome, as surface temperatures have tracked near or slightly below the 11.3°C climatological average low amid stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection. Traders' strong consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance and the absence of significant model spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in cloud cover or stronger winds that reduce overnight cooling, potentially lifting the minimum above 9°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,771Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological models and real-time observations from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate radiative cooling overnight under partly clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting a minimum temperature of 9°C in Amsterdam on September 10. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome, as surface temperatures have tracked near or slightly below the 11.3°C climatological average low amid stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection. Traders' strong consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance and the absence of significant model spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in cloud cover or stronger winds that reduce overnight cooling, potentially lifting the minimum above 9°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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