Current forecast models project an overnight low near 11–12 °C in Amsterdam on September 16 under westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the climatological average minimum of 11 °C for the date while keeping daytime highs around 17–18 °C. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows modest cooling relative to early-September warmth, supporting elevated market-implied probabilities for 11–14 °C outcomes even as the 18 °C-or-higher bucket retains nearly half the probability amid lingering uncertainty in exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine land-sea breeze and frontal influences.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 16?
18°C or higher 91%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
16°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
20%
10°C
20%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
21%
14°C
25%
15°C
23%
16°C
39%
17°C
20%
18°C or higher
91%
18°C or higher 91%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
16°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
9°C
$0 Обс.
20%
10°C
$0 Обс.
20%
11°C
$0 Обс.
39%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$0 Обс.
21%
14°C
$0 Обс.
25%
15°C
$0 Обс.
23%
16°C
$0 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
20%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project an overnight low near 11–12 °C in Amsterdam on September 16 under westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the climatological average minimum of 11 °C for the date while keeping daytime highs around 17–18 °C. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows modest cooling relative to early-September warmth, supporting elevated market-implied probabilities for 11–14 °C outcomes even as the 18 °C-or-higher bucket retains nearly half the probability amid lingering uncertainty in exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine land-sea breeze and frontal influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project an overnight low near 11–12 °C in Amsterdam on September 16 under westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the climatological average minimum of 11 °C for the date while keeping daytime highs around 17–18 °C. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows modest cooling relative to early-September warmth, supporting elevated market-implied probabilities for 11–14 °C outcomes even as the 18 °C-or-higher bucket retains nearly half the probability amid lingering uncertainty in exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine land-sea breeze and frontal influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models project an overnight low near 11–12 °C in Amsterdam on September 16 under westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with the climatological average minimum of 11 °C for the date while keeping daytime highs around 17–18 °C. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows modest cooling relative to early-September warmth, supporting elevated market-implied probabilities for 11–14 °C outcomes even as the 18 °C-or-higher bucket retains nearly half the probability amid lingering uncertainty in exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine land-sea breeze and frontal influences.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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