Current forecast models from GFS and regional sources project a minimum temperature near 19–20°C in Busan on September 21 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure, consistent with late-summer climatology. This stable pattern supports trader pricing of 16°C at 50% implied probability versus clustered odds around 13–15°C, highlighting uncertainty in the precise overnight low amid minor model spread on radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming evening observations and any short-term model updates could shift resolution thresholds before the daily minimum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Busan on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Busan on September 21?
17°C 92%
13°C or below 90%
14°C 90%
15°C 90%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
90%
14°C
90%
15°C
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
92%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 92%
13°C or below 90%
14°C 90%
15°C 90%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Обс.
90%
14°C
$0 Обс.
90%
15°C
$0 Обс.
90%
16°C
$0 Обс.
90%
17°C
$53 Обс.
92%
18°C
$153 Обс.
-
19°C
$352 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$36 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$31 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from GFS and regional sources project a minimum temperature near 19–20°C in Busan on September 21 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure, consistent with late-summer climatology. This stable pattern supports trader pricing of 16°C at 50% implied probability versus clustered odds around 13–15°C, highlighting uncertainty in the precise overnight low amid minor model spread on radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming evening observations and any short-term model updates could shift resolution thresholds before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$687Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from GFS and regional sources project a minimum temperature near 19–20°C in Busan on September 21 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure, consistent with late-summer climatology. This stable pattern supports trader pricing of 16°C at 50% implied probability versus clustered odds around 13–15°C, highlighting uncertainty in the precise overnight low amid minor model spread on radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming evening observations and any short-term model updates could shift resolution thresholds before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$687Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from GFS and regional sources project a minimum temperature near 19–20°C in Busan on September 21 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure, consistent with late-summer climatology. This stable pattern supports trader pricing of 16°C at 50% implied probability versus clustered odds around 13–15°C, highlighting uncertainty in the precise overnight low amid minor model spread on radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming evening observations and any short-term model updates could shift resolution thresholds before the daily minimum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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