Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 17 near 26°C, consistent with the subtropical late-summer pattern and recent observations showing overnight lows in the mid-20s amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader consensus around 25–27°C reflects model agreement on limited nocturnal cooling, with dew points near 22–24°C and scattered showers expected to moderate temperature drops. The close probabilities for 30°C+ or 20°C or below highlight uncertainty in exact timing of any brief clear spells or localized rain effects, while historical September averages (around 24°C) provide context but current warm advection keeps values elevated. New model runs and surface observations overnight will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 17?
20°C or below 65%
30°C or higher 65%
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
20°C or below
65%
21°C
14%
22°C
22%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
35%
27°C
27%
28°C
17%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
65%
20°C or below 65%
30°C or higher 65%
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
20°C or below
65%
21°C
14%
22°C
22%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
35%
27°C
27%
28°C
17%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 17 near 26°C, consistent with the subtropical late-summer pattern and recent observations showing overnight lows in the mid-20s amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader consensus around 25–27°C reflects model agreement on limited nocturnal cooling, with dew points near 22–24°C and scattered showers expected to moderate temperature drops. The close probabilities for 30°C+ or 20°C or below highlight uncertainty in exact timing of any brief clear spells or localized rain effects, while historical September averages (around 24°C) provide context but current warm advection keeps values elevated. New model runs and surface observations overnight will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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