Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a likely overnight minimum in the 23–25°C range on September 3, consistent with the historical average low of 25°C and supported by multiple model runs showing overcast skies, light northerly winds, and patchy rain that limit radiative cooling. High humidity near 90% and persistent cloud cover reduce the potential for sharp drops below 22°C, while steering patterns and modest pressure gradients make extremes below 20°C or above 28°C less probable absent major forecast shifts. The closely matched market-implied odds around 45% for sub-19°C versus 29°C+ reflect genuine uncertainty in the final model consensus and timing of any clearing, with traders weighing ensemble spread against climatological baselines for this subtropical location. Updated guidance from agencies like the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 3?
29°C or higher 89%
19°C or below 88%
24°C 27%
21°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
19°C or below
88%
20°C
24%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
89%
29°C or higher 89%
19°C or below 88%
24°C 27%
21°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Обс.
88%
20°C
$6 Обс.
24%
21°C
$0 Обс.
26%
22°C
$0 Обс.
26%
23°C
$0 Обс.
26%
24°C
$0 Обс.
27%
25°C
$0 Обс.
26%
26°C
$0 Обс.
25%
27°C
$0 Обс.
25%
28°C
$5 Обс.
2%
29°C or higher
$5 Обс.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a likely overnight minimum in the 23–25°C range on September 3, consistent with the historical average low of 25°C and supported by multiple model runs showing overcast skies, light northerly winds, and patchy rain that limit radiative cooling. High humidity near 90% and persistent cloud cover reduce the potential for sharp drops below 22°C, while steering patterns and modest pressure gradients make extremes below 20°C or above 28°C less probable absent major forecast shifts. The closely matched market-implied odds around 45% for sub-19°C versus 29°C+ reflect genuine uncertainty in the final model consensus and timing of any clearing, with traders weighing ensemble spread against climatological baselines for this subtropical location. Updated guidance from agencies like the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$21Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a likely overnight minimum in the 23–25°C range on September 3, consistent with the historical average low of 25°C and supported by multiple model runs showing overcast skies, light northerly winds, and patchy rain that limit radiative cooling. High humidity near 90% and persistent cloud cover reduce the potential for sharp drops below 22°C, while steering patterns and modest pressure gradients make extremes below 20°C or above 28°C less probable absent major forecast shifts. The closely matched market-implied odds around 45% for sub-19°C versus 29°C+ reflect genuine uncertainty in the final model consensus and timing of any clearing, with traders weighing ensemble spread against climatological baselines for this subtropical location. Updated guidance from agencies like the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a likely overnight minimum in the 23–25°C range on September 3, consistent with the historical average low of 25°C and supported by multiple model runs showing overcast skies, light northerly winds, and patchy rain that limit radiative cooling. High humidity near 90% and persistent cloud cover reduce the potential for sharp drops below 22°C, while steering patterns and modest pressure gradients make extremes below 20°C or above 28°C less probable absent major forecast shifts. The closely matched market-implied odds around 45% for sub-19°C versus 29°C+ reflect genuine uncertainty in the final model consensus and timing of any clearing, with traders weighing ensemble spread against climatological baselines for this subtropical location. Updated guidance from agencies like the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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