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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?

19°C 100.0%

14°C or below <1%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

Polymarket

$37,921 Обс.

19°C 100.0%

14°C or below <1%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

Polymarket

$37,921 Обс.

14°C or below

$967 Обс.

No

15°C

$1,313 Обс.

No

16°C

$1,308 Обс.

No

17°C

$1,043 Обс.

No

18°C

$2,488 Обс.

No

19°C

$5,242 Обс.

Yes

20°C

$8,092 Обс.

No

21°C

$6,677 Обс.

No

22°C

$4,020 Обс.

No

23°C

$2,886 Обс.

No

24°C or higher

$3,886 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a minimum air temperature of 19°C on May 5, 2026, at key reference stations like King's Park, driving the market's unanimous trader consensus on this outcome amid typical May variability. Overnight cloud cover and lingering effects from a northeast monsoon suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 23–25°C, with regional readings showing grass minimums around 20°C and no lower verified air temperatures at official sites. This positioning reflects verified instrumental data from HKO's quality-controlled network, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from sensor anomaly or clarification on station-specific minimums could shift it, though HKO finalizes dailies promptly.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$37,921
Дата завершення
May 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a minimum air temperature of 19°C on May 5, 2026, at key reference stations like King's Park, driving the market's unanimous trader consensus on this outcome amid typical May variability. Overnight cloud cover and lingering effects from a northeast monsoon suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 23–25°C, with regional readings showing grass minimums around 20°C and no lower verified air temperatures at official sites. This positioning reflects verified instrumental data from HKO's quality-controlled network, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from sensor anomaly or clarification on station-specific minimums could shift it, though HKO finalizes dailies promptly.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$37,921
Дата завершення
May 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «19°C» з 100%, далі «14°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?» згенерував $37.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 3, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?» — «19°C» з 100%. Наступний — «14°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.