Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project overnight lows of 23–25°C in Jinan on August 21 under a persistent warm subtropical air mass typical of late summer in Shandong, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and light winds. This consensus from multiple model runs underpins the 92% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as the daily minimum, reflecting observed temperatures already in that range early in the period. A rapid cold front intrusion or heavy overnight precipitation could lower readings enough to challenge the outcome, though current steering patterns and ensemble guidance show low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jinan on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 21?
22°C or higher 99%
20°C 3%
15°C 2%
17°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
99%
22°C or higher 99%
20°C 3%
15°C 2%
17°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
$155 Обс.
1%
13°C
$166 Обс.
1%
14°C
$136 Обс.
1%
15°C
$61 Обс.
2%
16°C
$128 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$139 Обс.
2%
18°C
$139 Обс.
2%
19°C
$62 Обс.
2%
20°C
$122 Обс.
3%
21°C
$102 Обс.
2%
22°C or higher
$447 Обс.
99%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project overnight lows of 23–25°C in Jinan on August 21 under a persistent warm subtropical air mass typical of late summer in Shandong, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and light winds. This consensus from multiple model runs underpins the 92% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as the daily minimum, reflecting observed temperatures already in that range early in the period. A rapid cold front intrusion or heavy overnight precipitation could lower readings enough to challenge the outcome, though current steering patterns and ensemble guidance show low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,654Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project overnight lows of 23–25°C in Jinan on August 21 under a persistent warm subtropical air mass typical of late summer in Shandong, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and light winds. This consensus from multiple model runs underpins the 92% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as the daily minimum, reflecting observed temperatures already in that range early in the period. A rapid cold front intrusion or heavy overnight precipitation could lower readings enough to challenge the outcome, though current steering patterns and ensemble guidance show low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,654Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project overnight lows of 23–25°C in Jinan on August 21 under a persistent warm subtropical air mass typical of late summer in Shandong, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and light winds. This consensus from multiple model runs underpins the 92% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as the daily minimum, reflecting observed temperatures already in that range early in the period. A rapid cold front intrusion or heavy overnight precipitation could lower readings enough to challenge the outcome, though current steering patterns and ensemble guidance show low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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