Persistent summer warmth across northern China supports the market's overwhelming consensus for a Jinan overnight low of 22°C or higher on August 22. Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate minimum temperatures of 23–25°C under typical humid conditions, consistent with Jinan’s August climatology where average lows range from 21–24°C and rarely fall below that threshold without a strong cold front. No model runs or observational data currently signal anomalous cooling, reinforcing trader positioning. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or significant model revision in the final 24 hours, though such shifts remain uncommon in late-August patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jinan on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 22?
22°C or higher 98%
19°C 9%
20°C 9%
17°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
98%
22°C or higher 98%
19°C 9%
20°C 9%
17°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
12°C or below
$21 Обс.
1%
13°C
$21 Обс.
1%
14°C
$21 Обс.
1%
15°C
$21 Обс.
1%
16°C
$21 Обс.
1%
17°C
$21 Обс.
3%
18°C
$21 Обс.
1%
19°C
$21 Обс.
9%
20°C
$21 Обс.
9%
21°C
$21 Обс.
3%
22°C or higher
$58 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer warmth across northern China supports the market's overwhelming consensus for a Jinan overnight low of 22°C or higher on August 22. Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate minimum temperatures of 23–25°C under typical humid conditions, consistent with Jinan’s August climatology where average lows range from 21–24°C and rarely fall below that threshold without a strong cold front. No model runs or observational data currently signal anomalous cooling, reinforcing trader positioning. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or significant model revision in the final 24 hours, though such shifts remain uncommon in late-August patterns.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$272Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer warmth across northern China supports the market's overwhelming consensus for a Jinan overnight low of 22°C or higher on August 22. Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate minimum temperatures of 23–25°C under typical humid conditions, consistent with Jinan’s August climatology where average lows range from 21–24°C and rarely fall below that threshold without a strong cold front. No model runs or observational data currently signal anomalous cooling, reinforcing trader positioning. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or significant model revision in the final 24 hours, though such shifts remain uncommon in late-August patterns.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$272Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer warmth across northern China supports the market's overwhelming consensus for a Jinan overnight low of 22°C or higher on August 22. Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate minimum temperatures of 23–25°C under typical humid conditions, consistent with Jinan’s August climatology where average lows range from 21–24°C and rarely fall below that threshold without a strong cold front. No model runs or observational data currently signal anomalous cooling, reinforcing trader positioning. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or significant model revision in the final 24 hours, though such shifts remain uncommon in late-August patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання