Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate the overnight low in Jinan on September 24 will likely range from 19–22°C, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 15–18°C, and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading 22°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability, as minimal cold-air advection is expected before a weak frontal passage later in the period. Historical September climatology for the region shows average lows near 17–19°C, but the current warm anomaly and stable high pressure have shifted trader consensus toward milder readings. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs on September 23–24 will refine the exact minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jinan on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 24?
22°C or higher 49%
19°C 21%
20°C 21%
18°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
9%
16°C
10%
17°C
10%
18°C
20%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C or higher
49%
22°C or higher 49%
19°C 21%
20°C 21%
18°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
12°C or below
$10 Обс.
1%
13°C
$10 Обс.
1%
14°C
$10 Обс.
1%
15°C
$0 Обс.
9%
16°C
$0 Обс.
10%
17°C
$0 Обс.
10%
18°C
$0 Обс.
20%
19°C
$0 Обс.
21%
20°C
$0 Обс.
21%
21°C
$0 Обс.
20%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
49%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate the overnight low in Jinan on September 24 will likely range from 19–22°C, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 15–18°C, and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading 22°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability, as minimal cold-air advection is expected before a weak frontal passage later in the period. Historical September climatology for the region shows average lows near 17–19°C, but the current warm anomaly and stable high pressure have shifted trader consensus toward milder readings. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs on September 23–24 will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$30Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate the overnight low in Jinan on September 24 will likely range from 19–22°C, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 15–18°C, and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading 22°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability, as minimal cold-air advection is expected before a weak frontal passage later in the period. Historical September climatology for the region shows average lows near 17–19°C, but the current warm anomaly and stable high pressure have shifted trader consensus toward milder readings. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs on September 23–24 will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$30Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate the overnight low in Jinan on September 24 will likely range from 19–22°C, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 15–18°C, and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading 22°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability, as minimal cold-air advection is expected before a weak frontal passage later in the period. Historical September climatology for the region shows average lows near 17–19°C, but the current warm anomaly and stable high pressure have shifted trader consensus toward milder readings. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs on September 23–24 will refine the exact minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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