Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Qingdao near 19–20 °C on September 25, driven by expected light rain and increasing cloud cover that will limit daytime heating while allowing modest overnight cooling under southeasterly flow. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging around 18 °C and current regional conditions showing stable temperatures in the low 20s. Trader positioning favoring 25 °C or higher likely reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range guidance and model spread on precipitation timing, while probabilities clustered near 18–20 °C capture the consensus from official monitoring. New ECMWF and regional runs ahead of landfall timing could refine the exact threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 25?
25°C or higher 98%
15°C or below 50%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
15°C or below
50%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
98%
25°C or higher 98%
15°C or below 50%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Обс.
50%
16°C
$0 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
39%
18°C
$0 Обс.
40%
19°C
$0 Обс.
40%
20°C
$0 Обс.
39%
21°C
$0 Обс.
39%
22°C
$0 Обс.
39%
23°C
$0 Обс.
39%
24°C
$0 Обс.
39%
25°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Qingdao near 19–20 °C on September 25, driven by expected light rain and increasing cloud cover that will limit daytime heating while allowing modest overnight cooling under southeasterly flow. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging around 18 °C and current regional conditions showing stable temperatures in the low 20s. Trader positioning favoring 25 °C or higher likely reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range guidance and model spread on precipitation timing, while probabilities clustered near 18–20 °C capture the consensus from official monitoring. New ECMWF and regional runs ahead of landfall timing could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Qingdao near 19–20 °C on September 25, driven by expected light rain and increasing cloud cover that will limit daytime heating while allowing modest overnight cooling under southeasterly flow. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging around 18 °C and current regional conditions showing stable temperatures in the low 20s. Trader positioning favoring 25 °C or higher likely reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range guidance and model spread on precipitation timing, while probabilities clustered near 18–20 °C capture the consensus from official monitoring. New ECMWF and regional runs ahead of landfall timing could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Qingdao near 19–20 °C on September 25, driven by expected light rain and increasing cloud cover that will limit daytime heating while allowing modest overnight cooling under southeasterly flow. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging around 18 °C and current regional conditions showing stable temperatures in the low 20s. Trader positioning favoring 25 °C or higher likely reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range guidance and model spread on precipitation timing, while probabilities clustered near 18–20 °C capture the consensus from official monitoring. New ECMWF and regional runs ahead of landfall timing could refine the exact threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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