Recent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao's September 24 overnight low stabilizing near 21°C under southerly flow and light rain or drizzle, consistent with late-September maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea and absence of strong cold advection. This supports market-implied odds clustering around 21–22°C while the near-even split between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on frontal timing and cloud cover. Historical baselines place typical minima around 18°C, so any earlier-than-expected northerly shift or clearer skies could lower readings, whereas persistent onshore flow would hold them higher. New CMA and ECMWF runs overnight will provide the next key update before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 24?
17°C or below 89%
27°C or higher 44%
19°C 40%
20°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
17°C or below
89%
18°C
27%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
44%
17°C or below 89%
27°C or higher 44%
19°C 40%
20°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 24, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Обс.
89%
18°C
$0 Обс.
27%
19°C
$0 Обс.
40%
20°C
$0 Обс.
39%
21°C
$0 Обс.
39%
22°C
$0 Обс.
39%
23°C
$0 Обс.
39%
24°C
$0 Обс.
13%
25°C
$0 Обс.
13%
26°C
$0 Обс.
13%
27°C or higher
$0 Обс.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao's September 24 overnight low stabilizing near 21°C under southerly flow and light rain or drizzle, consistent with late-September maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea and absence of strong cold advection. This supports market-implied odds clustering around 21–22°C while the near-even split between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on frontal timing and cloud cover. Historical baselines place typical minima around 18°C, so any earlier-than-expected northerly shift or clearer skies could lower readings, whereas persistent onshore flow would hold them higher. New CMA and ECMWF runs overnight will provide the next key update before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao's September 24 overnight low stabilizing near 21°C under southerly flow and light rain or drizzle, consistent with late-September maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea and absence of strong cold advection. This supports market-implied odds clustering around 21–22°C while the near-even split between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on frontal timing and cloud cover. Historical baselines place typical minima around 18°C, so any earlier-than-expected northerly shift or clearer skies could lower readings, whereas persistent onshore flow would hold them higher. New CMA and ECMWF runs overnight will provide the next key update before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao's September 24 overnight low stabilizing near 21°C under southerly flow and light rain or drizzle, consistent with late-September maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea and absence of strong cold advection. This supports market-implied odds clustering around 21–22°C while the near-even split between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on frontal timing and cloud cover. Historical baselines place typical minima around 18°C, so any earlier-than-expected northerly shift or clearer skies could lower readings, whereas persistent onshore flow would hold them higher. New CMA and ECMWF runs overnight will provide the next key update before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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