**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate an overnight low of 15–16°C in London on August 30, 2026, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 16°C (45.5%) and 17°C (38.5%).** Unsettled conditions with southwesterly winds, variable cloud, and possible showers are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping as low as the recent August minimum of 10.7°C. Hourly guidance shows early-morning readings stabilizing near 16–17°C after a daytime high of ~23°C, while lingering moisture and moderate winds (around 4–6 m/s) prevent stronger cooling. The modest edge for 16°C over 17°C and the lower weighting on 15°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and shower timing during the critical pre-dawn hours, typical for late-summer UK forecasts where small changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten this range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 30?
Lowest temperature in London on August 30?
16°C 45%
17°C 39%
15°C 27%
14°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
14%
14°C
17%
15°C
27%
16°C
45%
17°C
39%
18°C
15%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
9%
16°C 45%
17°C 39%
15°C 27%
14°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Обс.
2%
12°C
$20 Обс.
9%
13°C
$0 Обс.
14%
14°C
$0 Обс.
17%
15°C
$0 Обс.
27%
16°C
$0 Обс.
45%
17°C
$57 Обс.
39%
18°C
$0 Обс.
15%
19°C
$5 Обс.
2%
20°C
$5 Обс.
2%
21°C or higher
$5 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate an overnight low of 15–16°C in London on August 30, 2026, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 16°C (45.5%) and 17°C (38.5%).**
Unsettled conditions with southwesterly winds, variable cloud, and possible showers are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping as low as the recent August minimum of 10.7°C. Hourly guidance shows early-morning readings stabilizing near 16–17°C after a daytime high of ~23°C, while lingering moisture and moderate winds (around 4–6 m/s) prevent stronger cooling.
The modest edge for 16°C over 17°C and the lower weighting on 15°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and shower timing during the critical pre-dawn hours, typical for late-summer UK forecasts where small changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$97Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate an overnight low of 15–16°C in London on August 30, 2026, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 16°C (45.5%) and 17°C (38.5%).**
Unsettled conditions with southwesterly winds, variable cloud, and possible showers are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping as low as the recent August minimum of 10.7°C. Hourly guidance shows early-morning readings stabilizing near 16–17°C after a daytime high of ~23°C, while lingering moisture and moderate winds (around 4–6 m/s) prevent stronger cooling.
The modest edge for 16°C over 17°C and the lower weighting on 15°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and shower timing during the critical pre-dawn hours, typical for late-summer UK forecasts where small changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$97Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate an overnight low of 15–16°C in London on August 30, 2026, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 16°C (45.5%) and 17°C (38.5%).** Unsettled conditions with southwesterly winds, variable cloud, and possible showers are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping as low as the recent August minimum of 10.7°C. Hourly guidance shows early-morning readings stabilizing near 16–17°C after a daytime high of ~23°C, while lingering moisture and moderate winds (around 4–6 m/s) prevent stronger cooling. The modest edge for 16°C over 17°C and the lower weighting on 15°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and shower timing during the critical pre-dawn hours, typical for late-summer UK forecasts where small changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will likely tighten this range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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