**Recent official forecasts and observations from sources like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature of 15°C in London on September 23, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, light northerly winds, and a mild air mass that limits overnight cooling.** Urban heat island effects and the timing of the coldest hours (typically pre-dawn) support this outcome, consistent with model consensus showing lows around 12–15°C across central stations rather than sharper drops seen in rural areas. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects these verified data trends and limited variability in updated runs. A realistic challenge would require unexpected radiative cooling or a station-specific reading below the threshold, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 23?
Lowest temperature in London on September 23?
15°C 100%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$6,294 Обс.
$6,294 Обс.
Sep 23, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$6,294 Обс.
$6,294 Обс.
Sep 23, 2026
9°C or below
$207 Обс.
No
10°C
$15 Обс.
No
11°C
$60 Обс.
No
12°C
$451 Обс.
No
13°C
$438 Обс.
No
14°C
$862 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,416 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$1,188 Обс.
No
17°C
$1,221 Обс.
No
18°C
$419 Обс.
No
19°C or higher
$15 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and observations from sources like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature of 15°C in London on September 23, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, light northerly winds, and a mild air mass that limits overnight cooling.**
Urban heat island effects and the timing of the coldest hours (typically pre-dawn) support this outcome, consistent with model consensus showing lows around 12–15°C across central stations rather than sharper drops seen in rural areas. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects these verified data trends and limited variability in updated runs. A realistic challenge would require unexpected radiative cooling or a station-specific reading below the threshold, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,294Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and observations from sources like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature of 15°C in London on September 23, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, light northerly winds, and a mild air mass that limits overnight cooling.**
Urban heat island effects and the timing of the coldest hours (typically pre-dawn) support this outcome, consistent with model consensus showing lows around 12–15°C across central stations rather than sharper drops seen in rural areas. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects these verified data trends and limited variability in updated runs. A realistic challenge would require unexpected radiative cooling or a station-specific reading below the threshold, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,294Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Recent official forecasts and observations from sources like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature of 15°C in London on September 23, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, light northerly winds, and a mild air mass that limits overnight cooling.** Urban heat island effects and the timing of the coldest hours (typically pre-dawn) support this outcome, consistent with model consensus showing lows around 12–15°C across central stations rather than sharper drops seen in rural areas. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects these verified data trends and limited variability in updated runs. A realistic challenge would require unexpected radiative cooling or a station-specific reading below the threshold, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання