Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate clear skies and light northerly to northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 3, supporting radiative cooling overnight with minimum temperatures likely settling between 19–21°C. These conditions follow a warm air mass with daytime highs near 35–39°C, yielding dew points that limit further nocturnal drops while moderate winds reduce boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 19–21°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on these parameters against a September climatological low near 17.5°C. Key uncertainties remain in the timing of any wind shifts or cloud intrusions, with updated AEMET and ECMWF runs expected within 48 hours to refine the exact threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Madrid on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 3?
26°C 85%
22°C 84%
25°C 84%
23°C 83%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
28%
19°C
45%
20°C
45%
21°C
44%
22°C
84%
23°C
83%
24°C
2%
25°C
84%
26°C
85%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
42%
26°C 85%
22°C 84%
25°C 84%
23°C 83%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
$34 Обс.
28%
19°C
$0 Обс.
45%
20°C
$0 Обс.
45%
21°C
$0 Обс.
44%
22°C
$5 Обс.
84%
23°C
$5 Обс.
83%
24°C
$5 Обс.
2%
25°C
$5 Обс.
84%
26°C
$5 Обс.
85%
27°C
$5 Обс.
7%
28°C or higher
$5 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate clear skies and light northerly to northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 3, supporting radiative cooling overnight with minimum temperatures likely settling between 19–21°C. These conditions follow a warm air mass with daytime highs near 35–39°C, yielding dew points that limit further nocturnal drops while moderate winds reduce boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 19–21°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on these parameters against a September climatological low near 17.5°C. Key uncertainties remain in the timing of any wind shifts or cloud intrusions, with updated AEMET and ECMWF runs expected within 48 hours to refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$69Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate clear skies and light northerly to northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 3, supporting radiative cooling overnight with minimum temperatures likely settling between 19–21°C. These conditions follow a warm air mass with daytime highs near 35–39°C, yielding dew points that limit further nocturnal drops while moderate winds reduce boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 19–21°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on these parameters against a September climatological low near 17.5°C. Key uncertainties remain in the timing of any wind shifts or cloud intrusions, with updated AEMET and ECMWF runs expected within 48 hours to refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$69Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate clear skies and light northerly to northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 3, supporting radiative cooling overnight with minimum temperatures likely settling between 19–21°C. These conditions follow a warm air mass with daytime highs near 35–39°C, yielding dew points that limit further nocturnal drops while moderate winds reduce boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 19–21°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on these parameters against a September climatological low near 17.5°C. Key uncertainties remain in the timing of any wind shifts or cloud intrusions, with updated AEMET and ECMWF runs expected within 48 hours to refine the exact threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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