Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates Manila's overnight low on September 17 will likely fall near 24–26°C, consistent with September climatology in the region's tropical monsoon climate where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes because tropical forecast models can diverge on exact steering patterns, rainfall timing, and any brief clear-sky windows that might allow slightly greater nighttime cooling or suppress it. Historical data show typical diurnal ranges of only 5–7°C under similar conditions, with official Philippine weather service measurements determining resolution. Updated model runs and any late-day convective activity will be the key variables traders monitor before the market settles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 17?
20°C or below 84%
30°C or higher 84%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
84%
21°C
14%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
24%
27°C
21%
28°C
10%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
84%
20°C or below 84%
30°C or higher 84%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
84%
21°C
$0 Обс.
14%
22°C
$0 Обс.
39%
23°C
$83 Обс.
39%
24°C
$0 Обс.
22%
25°C
$0 Обс.
22%
26°C
$0 Обс.
24%
27°C
$0 Обс.
21%
28°C
$0 Обс.
10%
29°C
$0 Обс.
17%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates Manila's overnight low on September 17 will likely fall near 24–26°C, consistent with September climatology in the region's tropical monsoon climate where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes because tropical forecast models can diverge on exact steering patterns, rainfall timing, and any brief clear-sky windows that might allow slightly greater nighttime cooling or suppress it. Historical data show typical diurnal ranges of only 5–7°C under similar conditions, with official Philippine weather service measurements determining resolution. Updated model runs and any late-day convective activity will be the key variables traders monitor before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$83Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates Manila's overnight low on September 17 will likely fall near 24–26°C, consistent with September climatology in the region's tropical monsoon climate where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes because tropical forecast models can diverge on exact steering patterns, rainfall timing, and any brief clear-sky windows that might allow slightly greater nighttime cooling or suppress it. Historical data show typical diurnal ranges of only 5–7°C under similar conditions, with official Philippine weather service measurements determining resolution. Updated model runs and any late-day convective activity will be the key variables traders monitor before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$83Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates Manila's overnight low on September 17 will likely fall near 24–26°C, consistent with September climatology in the region's tropical monsoon climate where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes because tropical forecast models can diverge on exact steering patterns, rainfall timing, and any brief clear-sky windows that might allow slightly greater nighttime cooling or suppress it. Historical data show typical diurnal ranges of only 5–7°C under similar conditions, with official Philippine weather service measurements determining resolution. Updated model runs and any late-day convective activity will be the key variables traders monitor before the market settles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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