Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport points to an overnight low near 82°F on August 15, driven by persistent southeast flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of mid-August subtropical conditions. This aligns with the market’s heaviest volume on the 82-83°F bin at 46.5% implied probability and supports the secondary clustering around 80-81°F. No cool-air advection or tropical disturbance is expected to alter the pattern before the minimum is recorded, keeping lower bins below 10% each. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact value within the narrow 80-83°F envelope.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 15?
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 17%
84-85°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
14%
86°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 17%
84-85°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
67°F or below
$152 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$152 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$227 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$227 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$15 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$127 Обс.
5%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
23%
80-81°F
$17 Обс.
32%
82-83°F
$90 Обс.
35%
84-85°F
$9 Обс.
14%
86°F or higher
$413 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport points to an overnight low near 82°F on August 15, driven by persistent southeast flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of mid-August subtropical conditions. This aligns with the market’s heaviest volume on the 82-83°F bin at 46.5% implied probability and supports the secondary clustering around 80-81°F. No cool-air advection or tropical disturbance is expected to alter the pattern before the minimum is recorded, keeping lower bins below 10% each. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact value within the narrow 80-83°F envelope.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,429Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport points to an overnight low near 82°F on August 15, driven by persistent southeast flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of mid-August subtropical conditions. This aligns with the market’s heaviest volume on the 82-83°F bin at 46.5% implied probability and supports the secondary clustering around 80-81°F. No cool-air advection or tropical disturbance is expected to alter the pattern before the minimum is recorded, keeping lower bins below 10% each. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact value within the narrow 80-83°F envelope.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,429Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport points to an overnight low near 82°F on August 15, driven by persistent southeast flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies typical of mid-August subtropical conditions. This aligns with the market’s heaviest volume on the 82-83°F bin at 46.5% implied probability and supports the secondary clustering around 80-81°F. No cool-air advection or tropical disturbance is expected to alter the pattern before the minimum is recorded, keeping lower bins below 10% each. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact value within the narrow 80-83°F envelope.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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