Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a Milan minimum near 19–21°C on August 29 under mostly clear skies with light westerly flow and moderate humidity, aligning with market emphasis on 17–23°C outcomes. Clear conditions enable radiative cooling after sunset, while variable cloud cover or dew-point spread in recent runs creates the tight clustering among mid-range bins. Historical August lows average around 18°C, underscoring why traders assign modest weight to extremes below 16°C or above 23°C ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Milan on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?
23°C or higher 60%
14°C 49%
20°C 49%
22°C 43%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
8%
14°C
49%
15°C
21%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
2%
22°C
43%
23°C or higher
60%
23°C or higher 60%
14°C 49%
20°C 49%
22°C 43%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
$125 Обс.
8%
14°C
$5 Обс.
49%
15°C
$16 Обс.
21%
16°C
$0 Обс.
26%
17°C
$0 Обс.
27%
18°C
$0 Обс.
27%
19°C
$0 Обс.
27%
20°C
$10 Обс.
49%
21°C
$5 Обс.
2%
22°C
$5 Обс.
43%
23°C or higher
$5 Обс.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a Milan minimum near 19–21°C on August 29 under mostly clear skies with light westerly flow and moderate humidity, aligning with market emphasis on 17–23°C outcomes. Clear conditions enable radiative cooling after sunset, while variable cloud cover or dew-point spread in recent runs creates the tight clustering among mid-range bins. Historical August lows average around 18°C, underscoring why traders assign modest weight to extremes below 16°C or above 23°C ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$171Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a Milan minimum near 19–21°C on August 29 under mostly clear skies with light westerly flow and moderate humidity, aligning with market emphasis on 17–23°C outcomes. Clear conditions enable radiative cooling after sunset, while variable cloud cover or dew-point spread in recent runs creates the tight clustering among mid-range bins. Historical August lows average around 18°C, underscoring why traders assign modest weight to extremes below 16°C or above 23°C ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$171Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a Milan minimum near 19–21°C on August 29 under mostly clear skies with light westerly flow and moderate humidity, aligning with market emphasis on 17–23°C outcomes. Clear conditions enable radiative cooling after sunset, while variable cloud cover or dew-point spread in recent runs creates the tight clustering among mid-range bins. Historical August lows average around 18°C, underscoring why traders assign modest weight to extremes below 16°C or above 23°C ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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