Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Moscow overnight lows near 12–13°C on August 25, consistent with a cooling trend under increasing high pressure and reduced cloud cover that enhances radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment remains balanced between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes because short-range model spreads still allow for stronger cold-air advection or lingering moisture and winds that could limit nighttime temperature drops. Key variables include the strength of the surface high, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day precipitation, with updated runs from NOAA and European centers expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima around 11–14°C, underscoring how current atmospheric setup drives the tight probability distribution across mid-range bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
18°C or higher 96%
15°C 52%
16°C 52%
17°C 52%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
49%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
52%
16°C
52%
17°C
52%
18°C or higher
96%
18°C or higher 96%
15°C 52%
16°C 52%
17°C 52%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
$4 Обс.
49%
9°C
$0 Обс.
27%
10°C
$0 Обс.
27%
11°C
$0 Обс.
27%
12°C
$0 Обс.
27%
13°C
$0 Обс.
27%
14°C
$0 Обс.
27%
15°C
$5 Обс.
52%
16°C
$5 Обс.
52%
17°C
$5 Обс.
52%
18°C or higher
$5 Обс.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Moscow overnight lows near 12–13°C on August 25, consistent with a cooling trend under increasing high pressure and reduced cloud cover that enhances radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment remains balanced between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes because short-range model spreads still allow for stronger cold-air advection or lingering moisture and winds that could limit nighttime temperature drops. Key variables include the strength of the surface high, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day precipitation, with updated runs from NOAA and European centers expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima around 11–14°C, underscoring how current atmospheric setup drives the tight probability distribution across mid-range bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$24Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Moscow overnight lows near 12–13°C on August 25, consistent with a cooling trend under increasing high pressure and reduced cloud cover that enhances radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment remains balanced between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes because short-range model spreads still allow for stronger cold-air advection or lingering moisture and winds that could limit nighttime temperature drops. Key variables include the strength of the surface high, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day precipitation, with updated runs from NOAA and European centers expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima around 11–14°C, underscoring how current atmospheric setup drives the tight probability distribution across mid-range bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Moscow overnight lows near 12–13°C on August 25, consistent with a cooling trend under increasing high pressure and reduced cloud cover that enhances radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment remains balanced between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes because short-range model spreads still allow for stronger cold-air advection or lingering moisture and winds that could limit nighttime temperature drops. Key variables include the strength of the surface high, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day precipitation, with updated runs from NOAA and European centers expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima around 11–14°C, underscoring how current atmospheric setup drives the tight probability distribution across mid-range bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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