Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooling trend across southern Germany ahead of August 26, with ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing overnight minimum temperatures in Munich likely falling into the 10–14°C range amid increased cloud cover and lighter winds. This has concentrated trader sentiment around the 11–13°C brackets while sustaining notable volume on 8°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing of any frontal passage and radiative cooling potential under clear skies. Historical August lows average near 13°C, but current surface pressure patterns and soil moisture conditions favor greater diurnal temperature swings than typical late-summer norms. Updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs likely to refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
8°C or below 69%
14°C 49%
12°C 27%
11°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
69%
9°C
16%
10°C
15%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
49%
15°C
22%
16°C
20%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
2%
8°C or below 69%
14°C 49%
12°C 27%
11°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
69%
9°C
$0 Обс.
16%
10°C
$0 Обс.
15%
11°C
$0 Обс.
26%
12°C
$0 Обс.
27%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
49%
15°C
$0 Обс.
22%
16°C
$0 Обс.
20%
17°C
$0 Обс.
8%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooling trend across southern Germany ahead of August 26, with ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing overnight minimum temperatures in Munich likely falling into the 10–14°C range amid increased cloud cover and lighter winds. This has concentrated trader sentiment around the 11–13°C brackets while sustaining notable volume on 8°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing of any frontal passage and radiative cooling potential under clear skies. Historical August lows average near 13°C, but current surface pressure patterns and soil moisture conditions favor greater diurnal temperature swings than typical late-summer norms. Updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs likely to refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooling trend across southern Germany ahead of August 26, with ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing overnight minimum temperatures in Munich likely falling into the 10–14°C range amid increased cloud cover and lighter winds. This has concentrated trader sentiment around the 11–13°C brackets while sustaining notable volume on 8°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing of any frontal passage and radiative cooling potential under clear skies. Historical August lows average near 13°C, but current surface pressure patterns and soil moisture conditions favor greater diurnal temperature swings than typical late-summer norms. Updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs likely to refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooling trend across southern Germany ahead of August 26, with ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing overnight minimum temperatures in Munich likely falling into the 10–14°C range amid increased cloud cover and lighter winds. This has concentrated trader sentiment around the 11–13°C brackets while sustaining notable volume on 8°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing of any frontal passage and radiative cooling potential under clear skies. Historical August lows average near 13°C, but current surface pressure patterns and soil moisture conditions favor greater diurnal temperature swings than typical late-summer norms. Updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs likely to refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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