Latest forecasts from models like GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 2 likely between 12–14°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities centered on these outcomes. High pressure near 1022 hPa supports clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently under light northwest winds of 1–3 m/s. Dew points around 10–13°C limit further drops by moderating humidity, while the urban heat island effect in central Paris may add 1–2°C relative to suburban stations. Minor differences among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover timing, exact wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs. Historical September averages near 13.1°C provide a baseline, but traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk below 12°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 2?
14°C 49%
15°C 11%
10°C or below 9%
11°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
9%
11°C
9%
12°C
-
13°C
32%
14°C
45%
15°C
11%
16°C
5%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 49%
15°C 11%
10°C or below 9%
11°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
9%
11°C
$0 Обс.
9%
12°C
$20 Обс.
-
13°C
$193 Обс.
32%
14°C
$304 Обс.
45%
15°C
$439 Обс.
11%
16°C
$20 Обс.
5%
17°C
$10 Обс.
4%
18°C
$45 Обс.
2%
19°C
$173 Обс.
1%
20°C or higher
$189 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from models like GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 2 likely between 12–14°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities centered on these outcomes. High pressure near 1022 hPa supports clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently under light northwest winds of 1–3 m/s. Dew points around 10–13°C limit further drops by moderating humidity, while the urban heat island effect in central Paris may add 1–2°C relative to suburban stations. Minor differences among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover timing, exact wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs. Historical September averages near 13.1°C provide a baseline, but traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk below 12°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,393Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from models like GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 2 likely between 12–14°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities centered on these outcomes. High pressure near 1022 hPa supports clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently under light northwest winds of 1–3 m/s. Dew points around 10–13°C limit further drops by moderating humidity, while the urban heat island effect in central Paris may add 1–2°C relative to suburban stations. Minor differences among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover timing, exact wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs. Historical September averages near 13.1°C provide a baseline, but traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk below 12°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,393Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from models like GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 2 likely between 12–14°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities centered on these outcomes. High pressure near 1022 hPa supports clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, promoting radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently under light northwest winds of 1–3 m/s. Dew points around 10–13°C limit further drops by moderating humidity, while the urban heat island effect in central Paris may add 1–2°C relative to suburban stations. Minor differences among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover timing, exact wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs. Historical September averages near 13.1°C provide a baseline, but traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk below 12°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання