Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS equivalents indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C overnight into September 1 under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure, producing the tight clustering around 13–14°C in trader probabilities. This aligns closely with the historical average low of 13.2°C for the date while reflecting a brief moderation after late-August warmth. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 12°C absent unexpected radiative cooling, with upside capped near 15°C given dew points around 13°C and minimal cloud suppression. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact overnight minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 1?
14°C 42%
13°C 35%
15°C 14%
12°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
5%
10°C
3%
11°C
2%
12°C
7%
13°C
34%
14°C
42%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 42%
13°C 35%
15°C 14%
12°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
$145 Обс.
5%
10°C
$94 Обс.
3%
11°C
$81 Обс.
2%
12°C
$28 Обс.
7%
13°C
$206 Обс.
34%
14°C
$209 Обс.
42%
15°C
$6 Обс.
14%
16°C
$47 Обс.
3%
17°C
$41 Обс.
2%
18°C
$120 Обс.
3%
19°C or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS equivalents indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C overnight into September 1 under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure, producing the tight clustering around 13–14°C in trader probabilities. This aligns closely with the historical average low of 13.2°C for the date while reflecting a brief moderation after late-August warmth. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 12°C absent unexpected radiative cooling, with upside capped near 15°C given dew points around 13°C and minimal cloud suppression. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$987Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS equivalents indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C overnight into September 1 under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure, producing the tight clustering around 13–14°C in trader probabilities. This aligns closely with the historical average low of 13.2°C for the date while reflecting a brief moderation after late-August warmth. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 12°C absent unexpected radiative cooling, with upside capped near 15°C given dew points around 13°C and minimal cloud suppression. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$987Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS equivalents indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C overnight into September 1 under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure, producing the tight clustering around 13–14°C in trader probabilities. This aligns closely with the historical average low of 13.2°C for the date while reflecting a brief moderation after late-August warmth. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 12°C absent unexpected radiative cooling, with upside capped near 15°C given dew points around 13°C and minimal cloud suppression. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact overnight minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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