Recent short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 31 will likely reach 15–17 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects typical late-summer nocturnal radiative cooling moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 24 °C and limited cold-air advection. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 14–17 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with differences driven mainly by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak showers that could alter surface heat loss. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, but current mild conditions and stable pressure patterns support the higher consensus range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact overnight low.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 31?
14°C 49%
19°C 49%
22°C or higher 49%
12°C or below 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
45%
13°C
20%
14°C
49%
15°C
37%
16°C
29%
17°C
31%
18°C
43%
19°C
49%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
49%
14°C 49%
19°C 49%
22°C or higher 49%
12°C or below 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
45%
13°C
$0 Обс.
20%
14°C
$0 Обс.
49%
15°C
$0 Обс.
37%
16°C
$0 Обс.
29%
17°C
$0 Обс.
31%
18°C
$0 Обс.
43%
19°C
$0 Обс.
49%
20°C
$0 Обс.
2%
21°C
$0 Обс.
8%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 31 will likely reach 15–17 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects typical late-summer nocturnal radiative cooling moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 24 °C and limited cold-air advection. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 14–17 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with differences driven mainly by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak showers that could alter surface heat loss. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, but current mild conditions and stable pressure patterns support the higher consensus range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact overnight low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 31 will likely reach 15–17 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects typical late-summer nocturnal radiative cooling moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 24 °C and limited cold-air advection. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 14–17 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with differences driven mainly by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak showers that could alter surface heat loss. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, but current mild conditions and stable pressure patterns support the higher consensus range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact overnight low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 31 will likely reach 15–17 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects typical late-summer nocturnal radiative cooling moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 24 °C and limited cold-air advection. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 14–17 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with differences driven mainly by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak showers that could alter surface heat loss. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, but current mild conditions and stable pressure patterns support the higher consensus range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact overnight low.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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