Recent forecast consensus from models points to a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Paris on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, southerly flow, and elevated dew points that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current conditions feature light southwest winds and high humidity, keeping surface temperatures from dropping below seasonal norms despite clear intervals possible near dawn. This aligns with the past week’s above-average warmth and absent cool-air advection, though model spreads allow for minor adjustments if skies clear more than expected. Traders assign over 90% probability to 16–17°C outcomes based on these stable atmospheric patterns ahead of the daily minimum window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
16°C 63%
17°C 32%
15°C 8%
18°C 7%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
63%
17°C
32%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 63%
17°C 32%
15°C 8%
18°C 7%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
63%
17°C
32%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models points to a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Paris on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, southerly flow, and elevated dew points that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current conditions feature light southwest winds and high humidity, keeping surface temperatures from dropping below seasonal norms despite clear intervals possible near dawn. This aligns with the past week’s above-average warmth and absent cool-air advection, though model spreads allow for minor adjustments if skies clear more than expected. Traders assign over 90% probability to 16–17°C outcomes based on these stable atmospheric patterns ahead of the daily minimum window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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