Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Paris on September 20, 2026, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 14°C and 15°C, as traders weigh consistent model consensus against typical late-September variability and the historical average low of about 11°C. No major cold-air intrusions or frontal passages are expected in the next 24 hours, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities around these values while leaving modest room for 13°C if clearing skies enhance cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 20?
14°C 48%
15°C 23%
13°C 19%
11°C 7%
10°C or below
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
3%
13°C
23%
14°C
48%
15°C
26%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 48%
15°C 23%
13°C 19%
11°C 7%
10°C or below
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
3%
13°C
23%
14°C
48%
15°C
26%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C for Paris on September 20, 2026, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 14°C and 15°C, as traders weigh consistent model consensus against typical late-September variability and the historical average low of about 11°C. No major cold-air intrusions or frontal passages are expected in the next 24 hours, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities around these values while leaving modest room for 13°C if clearing skies enhance cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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