Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14 °C on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling while mild Atlantic air advection keeps surface temperatures above the long-term September average low of roughly 11 °C. Model consensus places the minimum squarely in the 12–14 °C window, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for 13 °C (43.5 %), 12 °C (27 %), and 14 °C (23 %). No significant frontal passages or stronger winds are forecast through the period, reducing the chance of sharper overnight drops. Traders appear to be weighting the current stable, above-normal pattern heavily, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outliers below 11 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
13°C 44%
10°C or below 32%
11°C 31%
15°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
32%
11°C
31%
12°C
27%
13°C
44%
14°C
23%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
18%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
13°C 44%
10°C or below 32%
11°C 31%
15°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
32%
11°C
$0 Обс.
31%
12°C
$0 Обс.
27%
13°C
$143 Обс.
44%
14°C
$45 Обс.
23%
15°C
$0 Обс.
28%
16°C
$0 Обс.
28%
17°C
$0 Обс.
18%
18°C
$0 Обс.
2%
19°C
$0 Обс.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14 °C on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling while mild Atlantic air advection keeps surface temperatures above the long-term September average low of roughly 11 °C. Model consensus places the minimum squarely in the 12–14 °C window, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for 13 °C (43.5 %), 12 °C (27 %), and 14 °C (23 %). No significant frontal passages or stronger winds are forecast through the period, reducing the chance of sharper overnight drops. Traders appear to be weighting the current stable, above-normal pattern heavily, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outliers below 11 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$188Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14 °C on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling while mild Atlantic air advection keeps surface temperatures above the long-term September average low of roughly 11 °C. Model consensus places the minimum squarely in the 12–14 °C window, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for 13 °C (43.5 %), 12 °C (27 %), and 14 °C (23 %). No significant frontal passages or stronger winds are forecast through the period, reducing the chance of sharper overnight drops. Traders appear to be weighting the current stable, above-normal pattern heavily, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outliers below 11 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$188Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14 °C on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling while mild Atlantic air advection keeps surface temperatures above the long-term September average low of roughly 11 °C. Model consensus places the minimum squarely in the 12–14 °C window, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for 13 °C (43.5 %), 12 °C (27 %), and 14 °C (23 %). No significant frontal passages or stronger winds are forecast through the period, reducing the chance of sharper overnight drops. Traders appear to be weighting the current stable, above-normal pattern heavily, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outliers below 11 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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