**Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's overnight low on September 4 around 22–26 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 26 °C (39.5 %), 25 °C (24 %), and 27 °C (23 %).** Persistent cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northeasterly flow are limiting nighttime radiative cooling under a subtropical high-pressure regime. This setup keeps minimum temperatures from dropping toward the lower tail of historical September norms (typically 20–24 °C). Official guidance and ensemble runs show the city under partly to mostly cloudy skies with dew points near 23–25 °C, supporting a most-likely minimum in the mid-20s. Any clearing trend or stronger northerly advection could push readings toward 27 °C, while heavier overnight rain would favor the cooler side near 25 °C or below. Updated model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of the close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 4?
26°C 28%
27°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
19%
23°C
9%
24°C
6%
25°C
24%
26°C
40%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 28%
27°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
22°C
$0 Обс.
19%
23°C
$0 Обс.
9%
24°C
$46 Обс.
6%
25°C
$0 Обс.
24%
26°C
$168 Обс.
40%
27°C
$2 Обс.
26%
28°C
$0 Обс.
25%
29°C
$0 Обс.
8%
30°C
$74 Обс.
8%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's overnight low on September 4 around 22–26 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 26 °C (39.5 %), 25 °C (24 %), and 27 °C (23 %).** Persistent cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northeasterly flow are limiting nighttime radiative cooling under a subtropical high-pressure regime. This setup keeps minimum temperatures from dropping toward the lower tail of historical September norms (typically 20–24 °C).
Official guidance and ensemble runs show the city under partly to mostly cloudy skies with dew points near 23–25 °C, supporting a most-likely minimum in the mid-20s. Any clearing trend or stronger northerly advection could push readings toward 27 °C, while heavier overnight rain would favor the cooler side near 25 °C or below. Updated model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$290Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's overnight low on September 4 around 22–26 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 26 °C (39.5 %), 25 °C (24 %), and 27 °C (23 %).** Persistent cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northeasterly flow are limiting nighttime radiative cooling under a subtropical high-pressure regime. This setup keeps minimum temperatures from dropping toward the lower tail of historical September norms (typically 20–24 °C).
Official guidance and ensemble runs show the city under partly to mostly cloudy skies with dew points near 23–25 °C, supporting a most-likely minimum in the mid-20s. Any clearing trend or stronger northerly advection could push readings toward 27 °C, while heavier overnight rain would favor the cooler side near 25 °C or below. Updated model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$290Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's overnight low on September 4 around 22–26 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 26 °C (39.5 %), 25 °C (24 %), and 27 °C (23 %).** Persistent cloud cover, scattered light showers, and northeasterly flow are limiting nighttime radiative cooling under a subtropical high-pressure regime. This setup keeps minimum temperatures from dropping toward the lower tail of historical September norms (typically 20–24 °C). Official guidance and ensemble runs show the city under partly to mostly cloudy skies with dew points near 23–25 °C, supporting a most-likely minimum in the mid-20s. Any clearing trend or stronger northerly advection could push readings toward 27 °C, while heavier overnight rain would favor the cooler side near 25 °C or below. Updated model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of the close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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