Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature near 24–26°C on September 5, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, light southerly winds, and scattered convective showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent patterns of afternoon thunderstorms transitioning to partly cloudy nights have produced overnight lows in this range, consistent with September climatology of 23–25°C averages. Differentiation among closely matched market outcomes hinges on precise overnight cloud cover, rainfall timing, and any shift in steering flow from the South China Sea, as even modest increases in humidity or wind could suppress the low by 1–2°C while clearer breaks would allow it to approach 22–23°C. Updated numerical guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 59%
23°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
48%
23°C
49%
24°C
28%
25°C
33%
26°C
27%
27°C
48%
28°C
49%
29°C
19%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
59%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 59%
23°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
48%
23°C
49%
24°C
28%
25°C
33%
26°C
27%
27°C
48%
28°C
49%
29°C
19%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature near 24–26°C on September 5, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, light southerly winds, and scattered convective showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent patterns of afternoon thunderstorms transitioning to partly cloudy nights have produced overnight lows in this range, consistent with September climatology of 23–25°C averages. Differentiation among closely matched market outcomes hinges on precise overnight cloud cover, rainfall timing, and any shift in steering flow from the South China Sea, as even modest increases in humidity or wind could suppress the low by 1–2°C while clearer breaks would allow it to approach 22–23°C. Updated numerical guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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