Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate nighttime lows in Tel Aviv on August 28 are likely to settle in the mid-20s °C, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with elevated sea-surface temperatures sustaining humidity and limiting radiative cooling. Light variable winds and patchy cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in the exact minimum, while stable high-pressure patterns suppress significant deviations. Historical climatology places average overnight lows near 24–25 °C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 24–29 °C outcomes; traders are weighting ensemble consensus against potential model spread in dew-point and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service ahead of the date will clarify whether subtle shifts in onshore flow push the low toward the upper or lower end of that range.