Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low near 26°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, driving the leading 41.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions, light variable winds, and typical early-September Mediterranean climatology—with daytime highs around 31–32°C and moderate humidity—support a narrow diurnal range and minimal overnight cooling. Official guidance shows partly cloudy skies and no significant frontal activity or marine layer changes that would push minima substantially lower or higher. Traders weigh this against historical baselines near 25–26°C lows, while noting that small model revisions in the final 48 hours could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 24–27°C bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3?
21°C or below 65%
31°C or higher 59%
26°C 52%
22°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
65%
22°C
50%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
44%
27°C
50%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
59%
21°C or below 65%
31°C or higher 59%
26°C 52%
22°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
65%
22°C
$0 Обс.
50%
23°C
$0 Обс.
49%
24°C
$0 Обс.
49%
25°C
$0 Обс.
49%
26°C
$18 Обс.
44%
27°C
$0 Обс.
50%
28°C
$0 Обс.
2%
29°C
$0 Обс.
8%
30°C
$0 Обс.
8%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low near 26°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, driving the leading 41.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions, light variable winds, and typical early-September Mediterranean climatology—with daytime highs around 31–32°C and moderate humidity—support a narrow diurnal range and minimal overnight cooling. Official guidance shows partly cloudy skies and no significant frontal activity or marine layer changes that would push minima substantially lower or higher. Traders weigh this against historical baselines near 25–26°C lows, while noting that small model revisions in the final 48 hours could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 24–27°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$18Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low near 26°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, driving the leading 41.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions, light variable winds, and typical early-September Mediterranean climatology—with daytime highs around 31–32°C and moderate humidity—support a narrow diurnal range and minimal overnight cooling. Official guidance shows partly cloudy skies and no significant frontal activity or marine layer changes that would push minima substantially lower or higher. Traders weigh this against historical baselines near 25–26°C lows, while noting that small model revisions in the final 48 hours could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 24–27°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low near 26°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, driving the leading 41.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions, light variable winds, and typical early-September Mediterranean climatology—with daytime highs around 31–32°C and moderate humidity—support a narrow diurnal range and minimal overnight cooling. Official guidance shows partly cloudy skies and no significant frontal activity or marine layer changes that would push minima substantially lower or higher. Traders weigh this against historical baselines near 25–26°C lows, while noting that small model revisions in the final 48 hours could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 24–27°C bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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