Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models show Moscow's September 1 daytime high likely reaching 23–26°C, driven by southerly air advection bringing above-normal warmth ahead of an approaching frontal system. Scattered clouds and isolated thunderstorms may cap peak readings near 25°C by limiting solar heating, while variable wind speeds around 3–5 m/s influence boundary-layer mixing. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–27°C, as small shifts in convective timing or cloud thickness could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical early-September averages near 19–20°C underscore the anomalous warmth, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 1?
25°C 28%
26°C 25%
27°C 21%
24°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
12%
24°C
18%
25°C
28%
26°C
25%
27°C
21%
28°C or higher
7%
25°C 28%
26°C 25%
27°C 21%
24°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
$276 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$276 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$127 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
6%
22°C
$0 Обс.
11%
23°C
$0 Обс.
12%
24°C
$0 Обс.
18%
25°C
$0 Обс.
28%
26°C
$0 Обс.
25%
27°C
$0 Обс.
21%
28°C or higher
$11 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models show Moscow's September 1 daytime high likely reaching 23–26°C, driven by southerly air advection bringing above-normal warmth ahead of an approaching frontal system. Scattered clouds and isolated thunderstorms may cap peak readings near 25°C by limiting solar heating, while variable wind speeds around 3–5 m/s influence boundary-layer mixing. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–27°C, as small shifts in convective timing or cloud thickness could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical early-September averages near 19–20°C underscore the anomalous warmth, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$690Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models show Moscow's September 1 daytime high likely reaching 23–26°C, driven by southerly air advection bringing above-normal warmth ahead of an approaching frontal system. Scattered clouds and isolated thunderstorms may cap peak readings near 25°C by limiting solar heating, while variable wind speeds around 3–5 m/s influence boundary-layer mixing. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–27°C, as small shifts in convective timing or cloud thickness could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical early-September averages near 19–20°C underscore the anomalous warmth, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$690Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models show Moscow's September 1 daytime high likely reaching 23–26°C, driven by southerly air advection bringing above-normal warmth ahead of an approaching frontal system. Scattered clouds and isolated thunderstorms may cap peak readings near 25°C by limiting solar heating, while variable wind speeds around 3–5 m/s influence boundary-layer mixing. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–27°C, as small shifts in convective timing or cloud thickness could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical early-September averages near 19–20°C underscore the anomalous warmth, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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