Forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–17°C for Moscow on September 1, driven by southerly flow maintaining above-average warmth amid the early-autumn transition. Recent guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with light rain or thunderstorms possible, which would limit radiational cooling overnight, while clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip closer to 13–14°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and dew-point depression creates the near-even split between outcomes above 19°C and below 9°C, with clustered probabilities around 11–17°C reflecting this narrow but uncertain range. Traders weigh persistent warm advection against potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 1?
19°C or higher 96%
9°C or below 93%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
93%
10°C
49%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
96%
19°C or higher 96%
9°C or below 93%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
93%
10°C
$0 Обс.
49%
11°C
$0 Обс.
50%
12°C
$0 Обс.
50%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
26%
15°C
$0 Обс.
50%
16°C
$0 Обс.
50%
17°C
$0 Обс.
50%
18°C
$0 Обс.
8%
19°C or higher
$0 Обс.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–17°C for Moscow on September 1, driven by southerly flow maintaining above-average warmth amid the early-autumn transition. Recent guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with light rain or thunderstorms possible, which would limit radiational cooling overnight, while clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip closer to 13–14°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and dew-point depression creates the near-even split between outcomes above 19°C and below 9°C, with clustered probabilities around 11–17°C reflecting this narrow but uncertain range. Traders weigh persistent warm advection against potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–17°C for Moscow on September 1, driven by southerly flow maintaining above-average warmth amid the early-autumn transition. Recent guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with light rain or thunderstorms possible, which would limit radiational cooling overnight, while clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip closer to 13–14°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and dew-point depression creates the near-even split between outcomes above 19°C and below 9°C, with clustered probabilities around 11–17°C reflecting this narrow but uncertain range. Traders weigh persistent warm advection against potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–17°C for Moscow on September 1, driven by southerly flow maintaining above-average warmth amid the early-autumn transition. Recent guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with light rain or thunderstorms possible, which would limit radiational cooling overnight, while clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip closer to 13–14°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and dew-point depression creates the near-even split between outcomes above 19°C and below 9°C, with clustered probabilities around 11–17°C reflecting this narrow but uncertain range. Traders weigh persistent warm advection against potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання