Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo show overnight lows near 23°C for August 15 amid the strong Pacific High and above-normal summer temperatures, aligning with historical August averages of 23.6°C. Trader consensus clusters on 23–25°C because model runs emphasize limited radiative cooling from high humidity and urban heat retention, with any scattered showers or variable cloud cover offering only modest downward shifts. Stronger winds or clearer skies could favor the lower probabilities around 22°C or below, while persistent muggy conditions support the 26°C tail. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble outputs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 15?
24°C 19%
23°C 18%
25°C 16%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
5%
22°C
7%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
16%
26°C
9%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 19%
23°C 18%
25°C 16%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
$12 Обс.
4%
20°C
$12 Обс.
4%
21°C
$0 Обс.
5%
22°C
$0 Обс.
7%
23°C
$25 Обс.
18%
24°C
$0 Обс.
19%
25°C
$0 Обс.
16%
26°C
$0 Обс.
9%
27°C
$23 Обс.
10%
28°C
$12 Обс.
2%
29°C or higher
$12 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo show overnight lows near 23°C for August 15 amid the strong Pacific High and above-normal summer temperatures, aligning with historical August averages of 23.6°C. Trader consensus clusters on 23–25°C because model runs emphasize limited radiative cooling from high humidity and urban heat retention, with any scattered showers or variable cloud cover offering only modest downward shifts. Stronger winds or clearer skies could favor the lower probabilities around 22°C or below, while persistent muggy conditions support the 26°C tail. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble outputs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$96Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo show overnight lows near 23°C for August 15 amid the strong Pacific High and above-normal summer temperatures, aligning with historical August averages of 23.6°C. Trader consensus clusters on 23–25°C because model runs emphasize limited radiative cooling from high humidity and urban heat retention, with any scattered showers or variable cloud cover offering only modest downward shifts. Stronger winds or clearer skies could favor the lower probabilities around 22°C or below, while persistent muggy conditions support the 26°C tail. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble outputs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$96Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo show overnight lows near 23°C for August 15 amid the strong Pacific High and above-normal summer temperatures, aligning with historical August averages of 23.6°C. Trader consensus clusters on 23–25°C because model runs emphasize limited radiative cooling from high humidity and urban heat retention, with any scattered showers or variable cloud cover offering only modest downward shifts. Stronger winds or clearer skies could favor the lower probabilities around 22°C or below, while persistent muggy conditions support the 26°C tail. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble outputs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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