The market's near-even split between 23°C (37%) and 24°C (36.5%) reflects ensemble forecast consensus placing Tokyo's expected minimum on August 16 squarely around the long-term August average low of 24°C. Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks highlight a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal warmth and humidity through mid-August, consistent with the hottest period of the year. Short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from possible cloud cover or light precipitation that could depress the overnight minimum by 1°C or allow it to hold near 24–25°C. Traders monitor updated JMA and ECMWF guidance through the weekend for any shifts in the temperature guidance envelope ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
23°C 56%
24°C 35%
22°C 15%
25°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
15%
23°C
36%
24°C
35%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 56%
24°C 35%
22°C 15%
25°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$37 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$27 Обс.
1%
20°C
$0 Обс.
5%
21°C
$0 Обс.
7%
22°C
$0 Обс.
15%
23°C
$16 Обс.
36%
24°C
$0 Обс.
35%
25°C
$84 Обс.
14%
26°C
$0 Обс.
5%
27°C
$27 Обс.
1%
28°C or higher
$54 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-even split between 23°C (37%) and 24°C (36.5%) reflects ensemble forecast consensus placing Tokyo's expected minimum on August 16 squarely around the long-term August average low of 24°C. Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks highlight a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal warmth and humidity through mid-August, consistent with the hottest period of the year. Short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from possible cloud cover or light precipitation that could depress the overnight minimum by 1°C or allow it to hold near 24–25°C. Traders monitor updated JMA and ECMWF guidance through the weekend for any shifts in the temperature guidance envelope ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$245Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-even split between 23°C (37%) and 24°C (36.5%) reflects ensemble forecast consensus placing Tokyo's expected minimum on August 16 squarely around the long-term August average low of 24°C. Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks highlight a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal warmth and humidity through mid-August, consistent with the hottest period of the year. Short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from possible cloud cover or light precipitation that could depress the overnight minimum by 1°C or allow it to hold near 24–25°C. Traders monitor updated JMA and ECMWF guidance through the weekend for any shifts in the temperature guidance envelope ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$245Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's near-even split between 23°C (37%) and 24°C (36.5%) reflects ensemble forecast consensus placing Tokyo's expected minimum on August 16 squarely around the long-term August average low of 24°C. Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks highlight a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal warmth and humidity through mid-August, consistent with the hottest period of the year. Short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from possible cloud cover or light precipitation that could depress the overnight minimum by 1°C or allow it to hold near 24–25°C. Traders monitor updated JMA and ECMWF guidance through the weekend for any shifts in the temperature guidance envelope ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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