Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS show notable spread in Warsaw's overnight minimum for August 25, with central tendencies clustered near 11–14 °C amid a weak high-pressure ridge. Primary controls include the degree of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, light winds that limit mixing, and the precise advection of cooler continental versus milder maritime air. Clear, calm conditions favor readings near the lower end of model guidance, while increased low-level moisture or lingering daytime heating would support milder values. Historical August minima average around 12–13 °C, placing the current forecast spread near climatological norms. Updated model cycles and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
16°C or higher 95%
6°C or below 92%
7°C 30%
10°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
6°C or below
92%
7°C
30%
8°C
20%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
16%
14°C
16%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
95%
16°C or higher 95%
6°C or below 92%
7°C 30%
10°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Обс.
92%
7°C
$5 Обс.
30%
8°C
$0 Обс.
20%
9°C
$0 Обс.
26%
10°C
$0 Обс.
27%
11°C
$0 Обс.
26%
12°C
$0 Обс.
26%
13°C
$0 Обс.
16%
14°C
$0 Обс.
16%
15°C
$5 Обс.
2%
16°C or higher
$5 Обс.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS show notable spread in Warsaw's overnight minimum for August 25, with central tendencies clustered near 11–14 °C amid a weak high-pressure ridge. Primary controls include the degree of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, light winds that limit mixing, and the precise advection of cooler continental versus milder maritime air. Clear, calm conditions favor readings near the lower end of model guidance, while increased low-level moisture or lingering daytime heating would support milder values. Historical August minima average around 12–13 °C, placing the current forecast spread near climatological norms. Updated model cycles and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS show notable spread in Warsaw's overnight minimum for August 25, with central tendencies clustered near 11–14 °C amid a weak high-pressure ridge. Primary controls include the degree of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, light winds that limit mixing, and the precise advection of cooler continental versus milder maritime air. Clear, calm conditions favor readings near the lower end of model guidance, while increased low-level moisture or lingering daytime heating would support milder values. Historical August minima average around 12–13 °C, placing the current forecast spread near climatological norms. Updated model cycles and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS show notable spread in Warsaw's overnight minimum for August 25, with central tendencies clustered near 11–14 °C amid a weak high-pressure ridge. Primary controls include the degree of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, light winds that limit mixing, and the precise advection of cooler continental versus milder maritime air. Clear, calm conditions favor readings near the lower end of model guidance, while increased low-level moisture or lingering daytime heating would support milder values. Historical August minima average around 12–13 °C, placing the current forecast spread near climatological norms. Updated model cycles and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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