Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 6 will likely settle near 11–13 °C under increasing cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered light showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C captures remaining uncertainty across model runs regarding exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. These values sit slightly above the early-September climatological average low of about 10 °C, consistent with a transitional high-pressure regime following earlier Atlantic flow. Fresh model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the precise minimum before official observations resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 6?
8°C or below 48%
18°C or higher 40%
12°C 37%
13°C 34%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
8°C or below
48%
9°C
7%
10°C
13%
11°C
31%
12°C
37%
13°C
32%
14°C
15%
15°C
15%
16°C
6%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
40%
8°C or below 48%
18°C or higher 40%
12°C 37%
13°C 34%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
8°C or below
$3 Обс.
48%
9°C
$0 Обс.
7%
10°C
$2 Обс.
13%
11°C
$0 Обс.
31%
12°C
$0 Обс.
37%
13°C
$3 Обс.
32%
14°C
$0 Обс.
15%
15°C
$0 Обс.
15%
16°C
$0 Обс.
6%
17°C
$0 Обс.
3%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 6 will likely settle near 11–13 °C under increasing cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered light showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C captures remaining uncertainty across model runs regarding exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. These values sit slightly above the early-September climatological average low of about 10 °C, consistent with a transitional high-pressure regime following earlier Atlantic flow. Fresh model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the precise minimum before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$8Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 6 will likely settle near 11–13 °C under increasing cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered light showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C captures remaining uncertainty across model runs regarding exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. These values sit slightly above the early-September climatological average low of about 10 °C, consistent with a transitional high-pressure regime following earlier Atlantic flow. Fresh model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the precise minimum before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 6 will likely settle near 11–13 °C under increasing cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered light showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C captures remaining uncertainty across model runs regarding exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. These values sit slightly above the early-September climatological average low of about 10 °C, consistent with a transitional high-pressure regime following earlier Atlantic flow. Fresh model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the precise minimum before official observations resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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