Current forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 28 most likely between 11–13°C, driven by strengthening northerly winds ahead of a Tasman trough that advects milder maritime air while limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. Strong surface winds (20–30 knots) and high dew points further suppress overnight lows compared to typical August climatology near 8–10°C. Model spread in exact timing of frontal passage and cloud thickness creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C, with traders weighting consensus runs that favor modest cooling under partial clearing. Updated high-resolution guidance and MetService briefings on August 27 will provide the key signals for final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
17°C or higher 99%
7°C or below 97%
8°C 88%
15°C 87%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
97%
8°C
88%
9°C
43%
10°C
44%
11°C
45%
12°C
49%
13°C
50%
14°C
44%
15°C
87%
16°C
63%
17°C or higher
99%
17°C or higher 99%
7°C or below 97%
8°C 88%
15°C 87%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
$22 Обс.
97%
8°C
$22 Обс.
88%
9°C
$0 Обс.
43%
10°C
$0 Обс.
44%
11°C
$0 Обс.
45%
12°C
$0 Обс.
49%
13°C
$0 Обс.
50%
14°C
$75 Обс.
44%
15°C
$22 Обс.
87%
16°C
$22 Обс.
63%
17°C or higher
$22 Обс.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 28 most likely between 11–13°C, driven by strengthening northerly winds ahead of a Tasman trough that advects milder maritime air while limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. Strong surface winds (20–30 knots) and high dew points further suppress overnight lows compared to typical August climatology near 8–10°C. Model spread in exact timing of frontal passage and cloud thickness creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C, with traders weighting consensus runs that favor modest cooling under partial clearing. Updated high-resolution guidance and MetService briefings on August 27 will provide the key signals for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$184Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 28 most likely between 11–13°C, driven by strengthening northerly winds ahead of a Tasman trough that advects milder maritime air while limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. Strong surface winds (20–30 knots) and high dew points further suppress overnight lows compared to typical August climatology near 8–10°C. Model spread in exact timing of frontal passage and cloud thickness creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C, with traders weighting consensus runs that favor modest cooling under partial clearing. Updated high-resolution guidance and MetService briefings on August 27 will provide the key signals for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$184Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 28 most likely between 11–13°C, driven by strengthening northerly winds ahead of a Tasman trough that advects milder maritime air while limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. Strong surface winds (20–30 knots) and high dew points further suppress overnight lows compared to typical August climatology near 8–10°C. Model spread in exact timing of frontal passage and cloud thickness creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C, with traders weighting consensus runs that favor modest cooling under partial clearing. Updated high-resolution guidance and MetService briefings on August 27 will provide the key signals for final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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