Israeli President Isaac Herzog has not granted Benjamin Netanyahu a pardon in his ongoing corruption trial despite a formal request submitted in late 2025 and repeated pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump. A Justice Ministry review concluded that clemency would be inappropriate absent an admission of guilt, resignation, or conviction, prompting Herzog to prioritize plea deal mediation instead. The trial has continued with testimony completed in June 2026. Coalition uncertainties ahead of October 2026 elections have kept limited pardon discussions alive as a potential deadlock resolver, while Herzog’s September 2026 pardon of another figure highlighted his selective approach. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these institutional and procedural barriers, pricing a pardon by December 31, 2026, at low single-digit odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
$484,684 Обс.
December 31
6%
$484,684 Обс.
December 31
6%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070be91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Вирішувач
0x65070be91...Israeli President Isaac Herzog has not granted Benjamin Netanyahu a pardon in his ongoing corruption trial despite a formal request submitted in late 2025 and repeated pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump. A Justice Ministry review concluded that clemency would be inappropriate absent an admission of guilt, resignation, or conviction, prompting Herzog to prioritize plea deal mediation instead. The trial has continued with testimony completed in June 2026. Coalition uncertainties ahead of October 2026 elections have kept limited pardon discussions alive as a potential deadlock resolver, while Herzog’s September 2026 pardon of another figure highlighted his selective approach. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these institutional and procedural barriers, pricing a pardon by December 31, 2026, at low single-digit odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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